Polymarket leaderboard

Implied probability: 46.1%
Current value: $53.95K
Potential payout: $116.97K
Potential profit: $63.02K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$376.52

Yes position

England vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score

Implied probability: 51.5%
Current value: $17.6K
Potential payout: $34.17K
Potential profit: $16.57K
Multiplier: 1.94x
User PnL: -$90.36

PnL: $56.62K
Volume: $379.65K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Anastasia Gasanova position

Istanbul 2: Harmony Tan vs Anastasia Gasanova

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $21.19K
Potential payout: $201.78K
Potential profit: $180.59K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$41.75K

Stan Wawrinka position

Swiss Open: Jaime Faria vs Stan Wawrinka

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $213.38K
Potential profit: $213.38K
User PnL: -$124.82K

PnL: $39.45K
Volume: $1.34M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $286.42K
Potential payout: $492.56K
Potential profit: $206.14K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $191.84K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $270.69K
Potential payout: $283.15K
Potential profit: $12.46K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $57K

PnL: $37.06K
Volume: $0
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $2.44M
Potential payout: $12.35M
Potential profit: $9.91M
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.21M

Yes position

No change in Fed interest rates after December 2025 meeting?

Ends Dec 10, 2025

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $113.29K
Potential profit: $113.29K
User PnL: -$3.01K

PnL: $35.86K
Volume: $173.4K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $514.68K
Potential payout: $595.01K
Potential profit: $80.33K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $54.67K

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $347.61K
Potential payout: $375.8K
Potential profit: $28.18K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $39.32K

PnL: $28.49K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Alexander Albon be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.08

No position

Will Pierre Gasly be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?

Ends Dec 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $19.99
Potential payout: $20
Potential profit: $0.01
User PnL: $0.07

PnL: $25.22K
Volume: $74.9K
Win rate: 92.9%
Open positions: 2

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 14, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $1K
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 15, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $3K
User PnL: -$1.57K

PnL: $22.2K
Volume: $1.83M
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $4M
Potential payout: $7.21M
Potential profit: $3.21M
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $396.31K

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $3.21M
Potential payout: $7.21M
Potential profit: $4M
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$396.31K

PnL: $20.28K
Volume: $47.12K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

NIP position

Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $35.24K
Potential payout: $35.25K
Potential profit: $17.63
User PnL: $12.86K

NIP position

Map Handicap: NIP (-1.5) vs K27 (+1.5)

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.27K
Potential payout: $12.28K
Potential profit: $6.14
User PnL: $8.38K

PnL: $19.79K
Volume: $36.32K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Hanne Vandewinkel position

Istanbul 2: Hanne Vandewinkel vs Weronika Falkowska

Implied probability: 40%
Current value: $5.04K
Potential payout: $12.59K
Potential profit: $7.55K
Multiplier: 2.50x
User PnL: -$91.91

Felipe Meligeni Alves position

Quito: Felipe Meligeni Alves vs Hernan Casanova

Ends Jul 11, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $7.62K
Potential profit: $7.62K
User PnL: -$2.36K

PnL: $19.4K
Volume: $345.91K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Anastasia Abbagnato position

ITF San Gregorio: Camilla Gennaro vs Anastasia Abbagnato

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $4.12
Potential profit: $4.12
User PnL: -$0.95

Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano position

ITF Cuiaba: Catarina Melleiro vs Marian Gomez Pezuela Cano

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $80.07
Potential profit: $80.07
User PnL: -$24.92

PnL: $19.13K
Volume: $187.5K
Win rate: 95.8%
Open positions: 2

Aliona Falei position

Istanbul 2: Kristina Penickova vs Aliona Falei

Implied probability: 80.5%
Current value: $19.41K
Potential payout: $24.12K
Potential profit: $4.7K
Multiplier: 1.24x
User PnL: -$89.38

Rinderknech position

Set 1 Winner: Rinderknech vs Tabur

Implied probability: 42%
Current value: $3.16K
Potential payout: $7.53K
Potential profit: $4.37K
Multiplier: 2.38x
User PnL: -$1.69K

PnL: $18.96K
Volume: $43.54K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

AG.AL position

LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.84K
Potential payout: $25.85K
Potential profit: $12.93
User PnL: $13.69K

Under position

Marlin Coast Rangers FC vs. Brunswick Juventus FC: 1st Half O/U 2.5

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $87.99
Potential payout: $88.03
Potential profit: $0.04
User PnL: $22.84

PnL: $18.42K
Volume: $51.84K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $10.19K
Potential payout: $17.52K
Potential profit: $7.33K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $1.43K

No position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $7.33K
Potential payout: $17.51K
Potential profit: $10.18K
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: -$1.43K

PnL: $17.67K
Volume: $315.75K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $53.09K
Potential payout: $59.99K
Potential profit: $6.9K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $681.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $46.78K
Potential payout: $68.29K
Potential profit: $21.51K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$5.08K

PnL: $15.89K
Volume: $35.33K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

Ends Oct 4, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $208.49
Potential payout: $339
Potential profit: $130.52
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $197.89

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 41.9%
Current value: $167.4
Potential payout: $400.01
Potential profit: $232.6
Multiplier: 2.39x
User PnL: $157.65

PnL: $15.14K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 75%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $996.9K
Potential payout: $5.05M
Potential profit: $4.05M
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $41.72K

Yes position

Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?

Ends Jul 12, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $350.88K
Potential profit: $350.88K
User PnL: -$200K

PnL: $14.99K
Volume: $7.48
Win rate: 81.8%
Open positions: 2

Over position

England vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5 Total Corners

Implied probability: 42.5%
Current value: $9.69K
Potential payout: $22.81K
Potential profit: $13.11K
Multiplier: 2.35x
User PnL: -$798.28

Yes position

Aalesunds FK leading at halftime?

Ends Jul 16, 2026

Implied probability: 21%
Current value: $1.03
Potential payout: $4.92
Potential profit: $3.89
Multiplier: 4.76x
User PnL: -$0.61

PnL: $14.56K
Volume: $95.13K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $38.12K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $9.38K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $633.22

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $32.75K
Potential payout: $56.32K
Potential profit: $23.57K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $24.36K

PnL: $14.54K
Volume: $91.24K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

AG.AL position

LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $12.41K
Potential payout: $12.42K
Potential profit: $6.21
User PnL: $6.71K

Team Spirit position

Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid - Game 1 Winner

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $9.99K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $5
User PnL: $3.39K

PnL: $14.39K
Volume: $115.05K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $186.11K
Potential payout: $193.57K
Potential profit: $7.45K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.15K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $55.75K
Potential payout: $55.78K
Potential profit: $27.89
User PnL: $36.65

PnL: $14.04K
Volume: $85.82K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $39.81K
Potential payout: $68.45K
Potential profit: $28.65K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $33.84K

Yes position

Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jan 1, 1970

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $19.2K
Potential payout: $24.15K
Potential profit: $4.95K
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $15.75K

PnL: $13.97K
Volume: $106.88K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 2

No position

Will Count Binface win the Clacton by-election?

Ends Jun 30, 2027

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $125.5
Potential payout: $130.86
Potential profit: $5.37
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $0.39

Yes position

Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 5.0% and 6.0%?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 10.2%
Current value: $29.58
Potential payout: $290.3
Potential profit: $260.72
Multiplier: 9.81x
User PnL: $0.55

PnL: $13.63K
Volume: $0
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 1

Hot positions

What leaderboard traders are holding

No position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $4M
Potential payout: $7.21M
Potential profit: $3.21M
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $396.31K

Yes position

2026 Balance of Power: D Senate, D House

Implied probability: 44.5%
Current value: $3.21M
Potential payout: $7.21M
Potential profit: $4M
Multiplier: 2.25x
User PnL: -$396.31K

Yes position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 19.8%
Current value: $2.44M
Potential payout: $12.35M
Potential profit: $9.91M
Multiplier: 5.06x
User PnL: $1.21M

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 86.5%
Current value: $514.68K
Potential payout: $595.01K
Potential profit: $80.33K
Multiplier: 1.16x
User PnL: $54.67K

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $347.61K
Potential payout: $375.8K
Potential profit: $28.18K
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $39.32K

Yes position

Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 58.2%
Current value: $286.42K
Potential payout: $492.56K
Potential profit: $206.14K
Multiplier: 1.72x
User PnL: $191.84K

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?

Ends Jul 29, 2026

Implied probability: 95.6%
Current value: $270.69K
Potential payout: $283.15K
Potential profit: $12.46K
Multiplier: 1.05x
User PnL: $57K

No position

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $186.11K
Potential payout: $193.57K
Potential profit: $7.45K
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $8.15K

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs GAM Esports (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group C

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $55.75K
Potential payout: $55.78K
Potential profit: $27.89
User PnL: $36.65

Argentina position

England vs. Argentina: Team to Advance

Implied probability: 46.1%
Current value: $53.95K
Potential payout: $116.97K
Potential profit: $63.02K
Multiplier: 2.17x
User PnL: -$376.52

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $72,500 in July?

Implied probability: 88.5%
Current value: $53.09K
Potential payout: $59.99K
Potential profit: $6.9K
Multiplier: 1.13x
User PnL: $681.47

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $70,000 in July?

Implied probability: 68.5%
Current value: $46.78K
Potential payout: $68.29K
Potential profit: $21.51K
Multiplier: 1.46x
User PnL: -$5.08K

No position

Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Implied probability: 80.3%
Current value: $38.12K
Potential payout: $47.5K
Potential profit: $9.38K
Multiplier: 1.25x
User PnL: $633.22

NIP position

Counter-Strike: NIP vs K27 (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 3 Playoffs

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $35.24K
Potential payout: $35.25K
Potential profit: $17.63
User PnL: $12.86K

AG.AL position

LoL: AG.AL vs Dplus KIA (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group A

Implied probability: 100%
Current value: $25.84K
Potential payout: $25.85K
Potential profit: $12.93
User PnL: $13.69K

Anastasia Gasanova position

Istanbul 2: Harmony Tan vs Anastasia Gasanova

Implied probability: 10.5%
Current value: $21.19K
Potential payout: $201.78K
Potential profit: $180.59K
Multiplier: 9.52x
User PnL: -$41.75K

Aliona Falei position

Istanbul 2: Kristina Penickova vs Aliona Falei