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Mercado de Polymarket

Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield reaches or is higher than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

En vivo
FinanceFed RatesEconomyJerome PowellTreasuries
Probabilidad
29.5%
Liquidez
$15.96K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
68%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 29.5% Current quote
No 70.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
68%
Profundidad
7305,06 / 8653,21

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%2,459.57
2%29.4
10%155.99
11%2,348
12%1,403.61
13%622
15%10
16%99.99

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%3119,4
97%617,1
95%5
93%2530
87%39,61
80%280
75%5
70%1116,66

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    Yes 32% 3.13 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    No 70% 100 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    Yes 31% 32.5 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    Yes 32% 1.9 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    No 54% 1.47 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    No 68% 1.47 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    Yes 31.6% 88 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    No 56% 15.92 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    Yes 44% 38.08 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    Yes 43.8% 52 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    No 72.7% 142 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield hit 4.8% before 2027?
    No 53% 2.95 shares