Mercado de Polymarket

Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if OpenAI's GPT-6 model is made available to the general public before Grand Theft Auto VI is officially released in the US. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If neither occurs by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to 50-50. For the purposes of this market, "release" refers to the game becoming publicly available for purchase or download in the US. Early access, beta versions, other forms of pre-release availability, or leaks will not count as an official release. If the release is only for certain consoles (e.g. Xbox Series X/S) it will count. The resolution source for the release of GTA VI is official information from Rockstar Games or its parent company, Take-Two Interactive. To qualify, GPT-6 must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or open rolling waitlist signups. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. The release must be clearly defined and publicly announced by OpenAI as being accessible to the general public. GPT-6 refers to a product explicitly named GPT-6 (e.g. ChatGPT-6o would count), or one that is recognized as a successor to GPT-5, similar to the progression from GPT-4 to GPT-5. Products labeled as GPT-5.5 or similar will not count for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for the release of GPT-6 will be official information from OpenAI, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.

En vivo
Probabilidad
53%
Liquidez
$127.19K
Finaliza
Jul 31, 2026
Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
54%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 53% Current quote
No 47% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
54%
Profundidad
101.160,06 / 26.033,3

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%516.23
2%16,668.91
3%13.67
5%3,700
7%1,028.57
9%622.22
11%654.54
12%3,378.48

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%10.123,23
98%206,17
97%3938,77
96%1007,11
92%3554,03
91%1902,55
90%7,94
86%1287,74

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    Yes 54% 1.85 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    No 46% 45.08 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    Yes 51% 7.4 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    Yes 51% 9.03 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    Yes 54% 9.04 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    No 48.9% 52.38 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    Yes 52% 1.85 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    No 48% 10.25 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    No 48% 10 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    Yes 52% 10 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    Yes 52% 5 shares
  • Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
    Yes 54% 3.7 shares