Mercado de Polymarket

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

En vivo
Probabilidad
15.9%
Liquidez
$2.72M
Finaliza
Dec 9, 2026
Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
76.5%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 15.9% Current quote
No 84.2% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
76.5%
Profundidad
2.452.858,32 / 263.189,75

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%2,232,821.24
0.2%36,063
0.3%121,875
0.4%15,625
0.5%18,750
0.6%6,770.83
0.7%4,910.71
0.8%3,906.25

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%85.724,8
99.8%41.886,12
99.7%31.875
99.6%20.625
99.5%8757,23
99.4%9270,83
99.3%4910,71
99.2%3906,25

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 23.5% 4.26 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 20.3% 124.47 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 19.8% 5.06 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 16.2% 6.16 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 13.2% 12.96 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 19.7% 1,470.11 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 12.2% 41.41 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 7.6% 87 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 8.1% 12.96 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    No 93.7% 5.53 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    No 93.6% 14.5 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    No 93.7% 118.11 shares