Mercado de Polymarket

Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

En vivo
Probabilidad
24.6%
Liquidez
$13.43M
Finaliza
Oct 4, 2026
Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
75.4%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 24.6% Current quote
No 75.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
75.4%
Profundidad
937.960,6 / 12.487.181,81

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%459,995
0.2%12,193
0.3%4,000
0.4%7,500
0.5%2,500
1%163,736.39
1.1%3,500
1.2%500

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%11.116.089,69
99.8%310.000
99.7%210.277,42
99.6%60.000
99.5%2500
99.4%3500
99.3%10,17
99%132.904,11

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 24.6% 4.07 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 75.5% 7.95 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 75.5% 10.6 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 75.5% 5 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 24.5% 53.88 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 24.6% 20.33 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 24.6% 190.53 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 24.5% 24.75 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 75.5% 4.99 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 75.4% 53.85 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 75.5% 46.15 shares
  • Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 24.5% 455.27 shares