Mercado de Polymarket

Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 7.0 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/browse/significant.php#sigdef). If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until January 7, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.

En vivo
Probabilidad
9.8%
Liquidez
$48.27K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
9.3%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 9.8% Current quote
No 90.3% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
9.3%
Profundidad
14.217,81 / 34.051,59

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%9,277
0.2%1,988
0.3%207.32
0.4%100
0.6%200
0.8%70
0.9%6.14
1.4%150

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%2208,58
99.8%107,56
99.7%10.133,32
99.6%57,89
99.5%40
99.4%66,66
99.3%57,14
99.2%25

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    No 90.7% 7.84 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 9.9% 5 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 9.9% 5 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 9.9% 5 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 9.9% 5 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 7.6% 619.43 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 5.9% 23.55 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 5.9% 116.15 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 6.5% 43.13 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 6.8% 5 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 6.8% 5 shares
  • Will there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
    Yes 6.9% 5 shares