Mercado de Polymarket
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market. The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/). If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".
En vivo
- Probabilidad
- 23.5%
- Liquidez
- $12.66K
- Finaliza
- Dec 31, 2026
- Mejor compra
- 6%
- Mejor venta
- 99%
- Spread
- 93%
- Ultimo trade
- 22%
Outcomes
Resultados del mercado
Precio en vivo
Precio y liquidez
Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.
- Mejor compra
- 6%
- Mejor venta
- 99%
- Punto medio
- 52.5%
- Spread
- 93%
- Ultimo trade
- 22%
- Profundidad
- 1646,84 / 11.010,63
Historial de precios
Esperando historial de precios
Historial no disponible
Compras
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 6% | 10 |
| 8% | 310 |
| 10% | 10 |
| 11% | 500 |
| 12% | 85 |
| 13% | 172.92 |
| 15% | 510 |
| 16% | 10 |
Ventas
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 99% | 2000 |
| 98% | 1000 |
| 94% | 1500 |
| 88% | 1030 |
| 84% | 550 |
| 78% | 963,63 |
| 67% | 106,06 |
| 60% | 33 |
Trades
Trades recientes
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 22% 5 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 18% 86.5 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 18.5% 22.22 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 18.3% 368.07 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 18.4% 200 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 20.3% 100 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 24.7% 144.2 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 24% 1.63 shares
- Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?Yes 24% 50 shares