Mercado de Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

En vivo
Probabilidad
12.5%
Liquidez
$5.68M
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
87%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 12.5% Current quote
No 87.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
87%
Profundidad
4.774.747,56 / 908.729,21

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%2,370,133.29
2%274,126.3
3%652,245.15
4%118,742.27
5%107,645.24
6%122,289.94
7%36,529.33
8%109,379.96

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%193.290,95
98%22.378,08
97%6503,92
96%1024
95%18.125
94%1000
93%8,83
92%2356

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes 13% 384.62 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 88% 4.94 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes 12% 380.32 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 5.26 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes 12% 1,730.77 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes 12% 1,730.77 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes 12% 3,461.53 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 4.94 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 21.89 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes 13% 115.38 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 10 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 88% 85 shares