Mercado de Polymarket

Natural Disaster in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf

En vivo
Probabilidad
19.5%
Liquidez
$14.57K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
82%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 19.5% Current quote
No 80.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
82%
Profundidad
7290,38 / 7275,07

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%5,100
2%356.02
3%192
4%16.99
8%10
9%50
10%350
11%91

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%1035,36
98%3510
97%256,66
96%16,16
89%600
84%450
76%613
66%22,22

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 18% 7.14 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 25% 4 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 26% 20 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 28% 14.29 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    No 82% 6.1 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 28% 35.77 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 25.9% 77.25 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 20.5% 97.75 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 19% 6.66 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 19% 3.57 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 20% 15.38 shares
  • Natural Disaster in 2026?
    Yes 20% 198.75 shares