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Mercado de Polymarket

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

En vivo
PoliticsBusinessFinanceTrumpFed RatesEconomy
Probabilidad
34.2%
Liquidez
$173.57K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Spread
99.8%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 34.2% Current quote
No 65.8% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
Unavailable
Profundidad
124.327,12 / 49.245

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%109,472.64
0.2%2,664
0.3%22.39
1.7%6,106.12
1.8%11.28
3.8%942.21
5.9%3,206.84
6%300

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%6886,61
99.8%106,09
99.7%10.066,66
99.6%50
99.5%45,59
99.4%33,33
99.3%28,57
99.2%25

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    No 56.7% 19.1 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    No 50.1% 2.4 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    Yes 43.6% 6.36 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    No 53% 14.65 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    No 53% 19.99 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    No 54% 41 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    No 50.9% 16.67 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    Yes 47% 7 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    No 47.4% 25.71 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    No 47.4% 4.63 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    No 68.2% 14.65 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
    Yes 28% 7 shares