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Mercado de Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Venezuela between November 3, 2025 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Venezuela or the United States as of September 6, 2025, 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

En vivo
PoliticsVenezuelaGeopoliticsTrump PresidencyWorld
Probabilidad
6.5%
Liquidez
$156K
Finaliza
Mar 31, 2026
Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
93%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 6.5% Current quote
No 93.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
93%
Profundidad
35.441,22 / 120.559,3

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%2,380
2%625
3%8,132.38
4%9,117.54
5%4,992.15
6%10,194.15

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%8007,9
98%7,49
95%27.800
94%9,25
91%9833,33
90%300
87%6093,75
86%6000

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 7% 256.43 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 5.71 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 4.25 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 7% 21 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 1.33 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 106.38 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    No 94% 1.06 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 0.12 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 7% 66 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 5.72 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 6% 37.5 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Venezuela by December 31, 2026?
    No 93% 26.7 shares