Mercado de Polymarket
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
This market will resolve according to the company which owns the model which has the highest arena rank based off the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab is checked on June 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET. Results from the "Rank" section on the Leaderboard tab of https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text with the style control off will be used to resolve this market. Models will be ordered primarily by their leaderboard rank at the market’s check time. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie remains, alphabetical order of company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “xAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies first place under this ranking system. The resolution source for this market is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard found at https://lmarena.ai/. If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on another resolution source.
En vivo
- Probabilidad
- 94.1%
- Liquidez
- $2.06M
- Finaliza
- Jun 30, 2026
- Mejor compra
- 0.1%
- Mejor venta
- 99.9%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Ultimo trade
- 94.1%
Outcomes
Resultados del mercado
Precio en vivo
Precio y liquidez
Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.
- Mejor compra
- 0.1%
- Mejor venta
- 99.9%
- Punto medio
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Ultimo trade
- 94.1%
- Profundidad
- 1.670.167,67 / 387.428,9
Historial de precios
Esperando historial de precios
Historial no disponible
Compras
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 763,606 |
| 0.2% | 525,588 |
| 0.3% | 114,999 |
| 0.4% | 51,000 |
| 0.5% | 1,750 |
| 0.6% | 5,830 |
| 0.7% | 31,900 |
| 0.8% | 3,664.64 |
Ventas
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 35.732,29 |
| 99.8% | 205.303,23 |
| 99.7% | 39.996,95 |
| 99.6% | 23.163,93 |
| 99.5% | 3861,98 |
| 99.4% | 2306,3 |
| 99.3% | 17,68 |
| 99.2% | 7809,19 |
Trades
Trades recientes
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.1% 78 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94% 58.88 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94% 11.31 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94% 8.65 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94% 68.77 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 5.8% 36.76 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 6% 33.33 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 6% 16.67 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.1% 399.99 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 94.1% 62.07 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 5.9% 34.58 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?No 5.9% 100 shares