Mercado de Polymarket
Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?
This market will resolve according to the minimum Arctic sea ice extent for all days between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026, as published by the National Snow and Ice Data Center. This market will remain open until data has been published for October 1, 2026, at which point it will resolve immediately. Any revisions to sea ice extent recorded after data is published for October 1, 2026 will not be considered. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to thousands of square kilometers (e.g. 4.255 million sq km). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. The resolution source for this market will be information from the National Snow and Ice Data Center, specifically the minimum value recorded for any day between August 1, 2026 and October 1, 2026 in the “NH-Daily-Extent” tab of the “Sea Ice Index Daily Extent” data set, available at https://nsidc.org/sea-ice-today/sea-ice-tools. If this resolution source becomes unavailable, another resolution source will be chosen.
En vivo
- Probabilidad
- 54%
- Liquidez
- $2.45K
- Finaliza
- Oct 1, 2026
- Mejor compra
- 1%
- Mejor venta
- 99%
- Spread
- 98%
- Ultimo trade
- 50%
Outcomes
Resultados del mercado
Precio en vivo
Precio y liquidez
Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.
- Mejor compra
- 1%
- Mejor venta
- 99%
- Punto medio
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Ultimo trade
- 50%
- Profundidad
- 550,4 / 1897,68
Historial de precios
Esperando historial de precios
Historial no disponible
Compras
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 1% | 20 |
| 2% | 21 |
| 3% | 14.27 |
| 10% | 101 |
| 11% | 36 |
| 13% | 45.33 |
| 14% | 50 |
| 24% | 7.33 |
Ventas
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 99% | 35,12 |
| 98% | 9,67 |
| 96% | 30 |
| 94% | 46,46 |
| 93% | 980 |
| 92% | 30 |
| 90% | 30 |
| 89% | 100 |
Trades
Trades recientes
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes 50% 12.24 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No 48.5% 16.48 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes 55% 34.29 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes 53% 34.29 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes 57% 29.77 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No 33% 26.31 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No 33% 7.97 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No 34% 6 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes 50% 5 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?Yes 52% 50 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No 46.2% 36 shares
- Will the minimum Arctic sea ice extent this summer be less than 4m square kilometers?No 52% 36 shares