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Mercado de Polymarket

Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if China commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of the Republic of China (Taiwan) by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Territory under the administration of the Republic of China including any inhabited islands will qualify, however uninhabited islands will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be will be official confirmation by China, Taiwan, the United Nations, or any permanent member of the UN Security Council, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.

En vivo
PoliticsChinaGeopoliticsForeign PolicyWorldEarn 4%
Probabilidad
6.6%
Liquidez
$17.29M
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
93.4%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 6.6% Current quote
No 93.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
93.4%
Profundidad
15.754.701,39 / 1.538.122,03

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%11,916,408.49
0.2%1,217,696.53
0.3%806,324.94
0.4%164,476.9
0.5%120,479.36
0.6%150,087.05
0.7%86,112.48
0.8%109,240.37

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%173.096,96
99.8%40.280,22
99.7%90.000
99.6%21.391,31
99.5%132.000
99.4%2500
99.3%5,53
99.2%4096

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.4% 5.32 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.5% 5.33 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.4% 5.32 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.5% 5.33 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.4% 5.32 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.5% 64.17 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.5% 5.33 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.4% 61.24 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.4% 5.32 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.5% 5.33 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.4% 5.32 shares
  • Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
    No 93.5% 5.33 shares