Mercado de Polymarket

Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new song between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released song or single is officially available for download or streaming (not including live performances, recordings of live performances, or leaks) by the resolution date. Live versions, re-releases, deluxe editions, or similar non-original or altered versions of previously released songs will not count. Songs where the listed artist appears only as a secondary or featured performer, rather than the primary artist, will also not count. If a song is released jointly by multiple artists credited equally as primary artists, it will count for all of them. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on the credits of the below-listed resolution sources (e.g., the song ‘girl, get up.’ counts as a new release for SZA as she is, equally to Doechii, labeled “Main Artist” in the Spotify credits to the song, regardless of feature indication in the title). For listed groups of artists, tracks released by individual members, sub-units, or under any designation other than the listed group name will not count toward resolution. The primary resolution sources will be official streaming and download platforms. In cases of ambiguity over how a song/album is labeled, the listed resolution sources will be consulted in the following order of precedence: Spotify, Apple Music, YouTube Music, and Deezer.

En vivo
Probabilidad
80.5%
Liquidez
$8.37K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
15%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 80.5% Current quote
No 19.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
15%
Profundidad
8058,23 / 315,64

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%5.23
2%80.36
10%1,620
13%1,030.76
14%236
16%650
21%209.52
27%237.03

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%31,89
97%10
96%10
95%96
94%10
93%57,5
92%56,25
91%10

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    No 15.4% 21.42 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    No 28% 21.43 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    Yes 74% 8.3 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    Yes 85% 5 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    Yes 76% 5 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    Yes 85% 5 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    Yes 75% 5 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    Yes 77% 5 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    Yes 85% 5 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    Yes 76% 8.3 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    Yes 16% 3.57 shares
  • Will JAY-Z release a new song in 2026?
    No 25% 20 shares