Mercado de Polymarket
Natural Disaster in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any of the following conditions are met during 2026 ET: - A Category 5 hurricane makes landfall in the US - A major meteor strikes (10kt+) - A major volcano erupts (VEI ≥6) - An 8.5+ earthquake occurs Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. If required information from the specified sources remains outstanding, the market may stay open until February 28, 2027, 11:59 PM ET. The full rules for this market can be found here: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/Natural+Disaster+in+2026.pdf
- Probabilidad
- 18%
- Volumen
- $223.44K
- Liquidez
- $916.49
- Finaliza
- Dec 31, 2026
- Mejor compra
- 18%
- Mejor venta
- 25%
- Spread
- 7%
- Ultimo trade
- 18%
Outcomes
Resultados del mercado
Precio en vivo
Precio y liquidez
Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.
- Mejor compra
- 1%
- Mejor venta
- 99%
- Punto medio
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Ultimo trade
- 82%
- Profundidad
- 4213,45 / 7458,69
Historial de precios
Esperando historial de precios
Compras
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 1% | 1,100 |
| 2% | 1,361.21 |
| 3% | 526 |
| 5% | 70 |
| 6% | 9.59 |
| 8% | 10 |
| 12% | 1,056.4 |
| 13% | 39 |
Ventas
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 99% | 1044,1 |
| 98% | 3510 |
| 97% | 256,66 |
| 96% | 16,1 |
| 89% | 600 |
| 84% | 450 |
| 74% | 812 |
| 66% | 22,22 |
Trades
Trades recientes
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 18% 7.14 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 25% 4 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 26% 20 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 28% 14.29 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?No 82% 6.1 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 28% 35.77 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 25.9% 77.25 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 20.5% 97.75 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 19% 6.66 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 19% 3.57 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 20% 15.38 shares
- Natural Disaster in 2026?Yes 20% 198.75 shares