Mercado de Polymarket
Negative GDP growth in 2026?
This market will resolve to 'Yes' if the seasonally adjusted and annualized GDP growth rate for the full year 2026, as derived from the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, with a release by the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) expected in January 2027, reports a growth rate below 0. Otherwise, this market will resolve to 'No'. The GDP release will be available at: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product. Only the first available GDP report labeled as the 'Advance Estimate' for Q4 2026, which provides the initial full-year 2026 GDP growth rate, will be used for resolution. Any subsequent revisions or updates to the data will not be considered.
- Probabilidad
- 18.6%
- Volumen
- $27.75K
- Liquidez
- $3.09K
- Finaliza
- Jan 29, 2027
- Mejor compra
- 7.1%
- Mejor venta
- 9.9%
- Spread
- 2.8%
- Ultimo trade
- 18.6%
Outcomes
Resultados del mercado
Precio en vivo
Precio y liquidez
Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.
- Mejor compra
- 0.1%
- Mejor venta
- 99.9%
- Punto medio
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Ultimo trade
- Unavailable
- Profundidad
- 40.806,03 / 8604,37
Historial de precios
Esperando historial de precios
Compras
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 36,963 |
| 0.2% | 1,688 |
| 0.4% | 444 |
| 2% | 975.92 |
| 2.1% | 100 |
| 3.6% | 96.4 |
| 3.9% | 358.8 |
| 4% | 115 |
Ventas
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 8,53 |
| 99.7% | 900 |
| 99.6% | 18,21 |
| 95% | 20 |
| 94.9% | 6,09 |
| 90.2% | 43,17 |
| 88.3% | 1230,76 |
| 84.4% | 717,94 |
Trades
Trades recientes
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 18.6% 9.62 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?No 75.6% 5.49 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 6.6% 20 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 7.6% 2.94 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?No 86.9% 4.94 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?No 89.5% 9.04 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?No 89.5% 10.68 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 10% 10 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 6.3% 15.54 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 6.3% 20.39 shares
- Negative GDP growth in 2026?Yes 9.8% 20.4 shares