Mercado de Polymarket

Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

This market will resolve according to the number of SpaceX Starship launches successfully reaching an altitude of 62 miles above sea level between January 1, 2026, and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". A successful launch is defined as the Starship taking off from its launchpad and reaching a minimum altitude of 62 miles above sea level. Any subsequent anomaly (e.g., an explosion) after the vehicle reaches 62 miles will have no bearing on the outcome. The primary resolution source for this market will be SpaceX’s official video feed of the launches (e.g., via SpaceX YouTube Channel), as well as secondary video feeds or written reports if necessary. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

En vivo
Probabilidad
24.3%
Volumen
$155.06K
Liquidez
$3.89K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
7%
Mejor venta
10.6%
Spread
3.6%
Ultimo trade
24.3%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 8.8% Current quote
No 91.2% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
90.9%
Profundidad
26.323,15 / 40.995,49

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%25,744
0.2%333
1%110
1.1%8.11
1.9%10
2.3%10
2.9%10
3.7%10

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%2000
99.8%8,8
99%12.243,75
98.9%6,28
98%4568,76
97%3443,75
96%2031,25
95%1157,49

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    No 90.9% 10.41 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    Yes 24.3% 411.5 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    No 93.2% 18.65 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    Yes 19.2% 104.18 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    No 82.7% 1.32 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    No 93.9% 16 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    No 92% 13.03 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    No 94.5% 28 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    No 94.5% 30 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    No 94.5% 15.49 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    Yes 13.2% 75.5 shares
  • Will 7-8 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
    Yes 5.5% 14.88 shares