Mercado de Polymarket

Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the political party that wins the greatest number of seats in the formal deliberative assembly of Berlin (Abgeordnetenhaus) as a result of this election. If voting in the Berlin election for the Abgeordnetenhaus does not occur by December 31, 2026, this market will resolve to "Other". In the case of a tie between this party or coalition and any other for the most seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party or coalition whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Election Office of Berlin (Landeswahlleiter Berlin https://www.berlin.de/wahlen/)

En vivo
Probabilidad
16%
Volumen
$2.21M
Liquidez
$24.72K
Finaliza
Sep 20, 2026
Mejor compra
15.4%
Mejor venta
17.5%
Spread
2.1%
Ultimo trade
16%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 16.5% Current quote
No 83.6% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
16%
Profundidad
64.934,23 / 236.732,75

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%45,663
0.2%3,720.06
0.3%336
0.4%6.78
1.1%5,000
1.2%800
1.3%18.74
3.8%742.78

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%8300
99.8%9,52
99.7%10.000
99%55.593,76
98.9%8,08
98%23.718,74
97%15.093,76
96%35.425,29

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    Yes 16% 18 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 84% 10 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 83.9% 33.22 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 83.9% 5 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 83.8% 5 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 83.8% 6.42 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 83.8% 7.1 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 83.8% 29.41 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 83.8% 12.98 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 83.6% 7 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    Yes 19.4% 515.57 shares
  • Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Berlin state elections?
    No 83.9% 80 shares