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Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?

On December 9, Google introduced Willow, a breakthrough state-of-the-art quantum chip. This achievement fueled speculation that Bitcoin's encryption may be vulnerable to quantum computers in the not-so-distant future (see https://www.cryptoglobe.com/latest/2024/12/does-googles-new-quantum-chip-willow-threaten-bitcoin-the-crypto-community-responds/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bitcoin stops using SHA-256 by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source will be the Bitcoin blockchain, in addition to a consensus of credible reporting.

En vivo
MarketLive pricing
Probabilidad
4.9%
Volumen
$186.53K
Liquidez
$7.23K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
4.8%
Mejor venta
4.9%
Spread
0.1%
Ultimo trade
4.9%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 4.9% Current quote
No 95.2% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
95.1%
Profundidad
68.517,62 / 33.816,72

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%39,009
0.2%11,366
0.3%336
0.4%5,000
0.6%2,500
1%2,000
1.9%1,354.89
2%1,000

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%3179,99
99.8%10.000
99.5%2500
98.8%3314,28
95.2%655,36
95%20
90%3800
89%600

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    Yes 4.9% 66.61 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    No 94.8% 2.38 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    Yes 5.1% 37 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    No 95.1% 10 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    Yes 4.9% 13.15 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    No 94.9% 24.19 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    No 95.1% 24.19 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    No 95% 15 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    No 95% 2.51 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    No 95% 20 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    No 95.1% 4.71 shares
  • Will Bitcoin replace SHA-256 before 2027?
    No 94.8% 1.24 shares