Mercado de Polymarket

Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?

General elections are scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. If no candidate wins outright in the first round, the top two candidates proceed to a runoff. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed candidate advances to Brazil's presidential runoff election or otherwise wins outright in the first round. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the president is decided in the first round of the election but the listed candidate is not the winner or the result of this election isn't known definitively by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

En vivo
Probabilidad
70%
Volumen
$36.48K
Liquidez
$5.82K
Finaliza
Oct 4, 2026
Mejor compra
68%
Mejor venta
72%
Spread
4%
Ultimo trade
70%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 70% Current quote
No 30% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
28%
Profundidad
32.423,45 / 20.751,5

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%5,080.68
2%700
3%255.41
4%750
5%3,700
6%250
8%13.33
9%5,405.71

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%5952,58
98%2375,01
97%1505,52
96%3875
94%4835,72
93%817,35
92%473
91%151,03

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    No 28.7% 7.69 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    Yes 70% 8.04 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    No 29.1% 18 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    Yes 66% 2.79 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    Yes 69% 1.81 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    Yes 72% 1.82 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    Yes 67% 7 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    Yes 72% 2.79 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    Yes 70.7% 35.38 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    Yes 68% 0.45 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    Yes 67.6% 66.54 shares
  • Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
    No 33% 8.27 shares