Mercado de Polymarket

Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gavin Newsom officially announces that he is running for U.S. President in the 2028 presidential election, by the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For the purpose of resolving this market, an announcement by Gavin Newsom will be sufficient to trigger a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether he actually filed a nomination to run, or whether he actually files a nomination to run in the future. The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements by Gavin Newsom (e.g., via speech, social media, etc.) or his official or legal representatives; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

En vivo
Probabilidad
16%
Volumen
$53.03K
Liquidez
$10.6K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
16%
Mejor venta
17%
Spread
1%
Ultimo trade
16%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 16.5% Current quote
No 83.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
83%
Profundidad
11.163,48 / 89.508,8

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%8,400
2%33.96
6%654
7%601
8%27.41
9%50
10%58.9
11%98.99

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%8011,54
98%17,1
96%36.944,05
95%20
92%12.922,02
91%9,05
87%8872,85
84%24,99

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    No 83% 5.76 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    No 84% 2.11 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 16% 5 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 17% 8.69 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 16.4% 25.16 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    No 82% 80 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    No 81% 26 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 20% 5 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 18% 13.89 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 20% 25 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 18.6% 15.18 shares
  • Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026?
    Yes 18% 26 shares