Mercado de Polymarket
Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?
This market will resolve according to the total number of different countries' soil that Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike between January 1, 2026, 12:00 AM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Strikes on embassies or consulates will count towards the country the embassy or consulate is located in, not towards the country they represent. Strikes within the territory controlled by Israel as of December 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, as well as strikes within the West Bank or the Gaza Strip, will not be counted towards this market's resolution. For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones, or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact another country's ground territory that is officially acknowledged by the Israeli government or a consensus of credible reporting. Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not count towards the resolution of this market, regardless of whether they land on another country's territory or cause damage. Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.
En vivo
- Probabilidad
- 47.5%
- Volumen
- $1.17M
- Liquidez
- $12.12K
- Finaliza
- Dec 31, 2026
- Mejor compra
- 47.3%
- Mejor venta
- 55.5%
- Spread
- 8.2%
- Ultimo trade
- 47.5%
Outcomes
Resultados del mercado
Precio en vivo
Precio y liquidez
Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.
- Mejor compra
- 0.1%
- Mejor venta
- 99.9%
- Punto medio
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Ultimo trade
- 52.7%
- Profundidad
- 55.961,89 / 573.997,27
Historial de precios
Esperando historial de precios
Historial no disponible
Compras
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 14,444 |
| 0.3% | 20,000 |
| 1% | 8,637.28 |
| 3.6% | 10 |
| 3.8% | 1,220.33 |
| 3.9% | 3,000 |
| 4.2% | 5 |
| 4.3% | 5 |
Ventas
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 101.190,24 |
| 99.8% | 41.875,04 |
| 99.7% | 31.881,88 |
| 99.6% | 20.625 |
| 99.5% | 8750 |
| 99.4% | 9276,01 |
| 99.3% | 4910,71 |
| 99.2% | 3906,24 |
Trades
Trades recientes
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 47.5% 63.34 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 57.7% 17.32 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 42.8% 3.62 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 50.5% 9.5 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 51.9% 0.5 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 52% 5 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 52.5% 56.64 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 50.4% 24.44 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 54.9% 11.21 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?Yes 54.9% 1.31 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No 45.1% 13.45 shares
- Will Israel strike 4 countries in 2026?No 46.5% 15.36 shares