Mercado de Polymarket

Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?

The Fields Medal is a prize regarded as the top award in the field of mathematics worldwide. It is awarded to two, three, or four mathematicians under 40 years of age at the International Congress of the International Mathematical Union (IMU), a meeting that takes place every four years. The International Congress of Mathematicians 2026 (ICM 2026) is scheduled to take place from July 23 to July 30, 2026. This market will resolve according to the winners of the 2026 Fields medal. If the 2026 Fields medalists are not announced by August 15, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the IMU (https://www.mathunion.org/imu-awards/fields-medal), however other credible reporting may be used.

En vivo
Probabilidad
27%
Volumen
$101.32K
Liquidez
$103.08
Finaliza
Jul 30, 2026
Mejor compra
27%
Mejor venta
54%
Spread
27%
Ultimo trade
27%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 40.5% Current quote
No 59.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
5%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
52%
Spread
94%
Ultimo trade
35%
Profundidad
138,38 / 440,28

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
5%20
20%40
22%4.38
23%20
26%45
27%9

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%200
89%100
70%5
60%14
59%30
54%91,28

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    No 65% 19 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    Yes 27% 4.29 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    Yes 27% 6 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    Yes 27% 3.7 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    No 78% 1.41 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    No 66% 11 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    No 70% 2 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    No 70% 4 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    No 70% 10 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    No 66% 14 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    Yes 31% 5.02 shares
  • Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
    No 67% 2.04 shares