Mercado de Polymarket

Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?

A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).

En vivo
Probabilidad
51%
Volumen
$6.5M
Liquidez
$296.07K
Finaliza
Oct 4, 2026
Mejor compra
51%
Mejor venta
52%
Spread
1%
Ultimo trade
51%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 51.5% Current quote
No 48.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
51%
Profundidad
788.390,97 / 2.078.703,42

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%26,550
2%142,228.91
3%96,724.33
5%33,068.5
7%25,373.25
8%10
9%10,666.66
10%3,003.12

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%1.337.887,4
98%199.659,27
97%130.048,84
96%96.749,74
95%25.813,64
94%5416,67
93%46.562,6
92%15.850

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 49% 5 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 51% 230.5 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 51% 19.23 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 52% 3.08 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 52% 3.08 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 49% 3.06 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 51% 7.1 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 49% 5 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 49% 5 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    Yes 52% 5 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 49% 3.06 shares
  • Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
    No 49% 3.06 shares