Mercado de Polymarket
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
A presidential election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate that wins this election. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., https://dadosabertos.tse.jus.br/).
- Probabilidad
- 51%
- Volumen
- $6.5M
- Liquidez
- $296.07K
- Finaliza
- Oct 4, 2026
- Mejor compra
- 51%
- Mejor venta
- 52%
- Spread
- 1%
- Ultimo trade
- 51%
Outcomes
Resultados del mercado
Precio en vivo
Precio y liquidez
Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.
- Mejor compra
- 1%
- Mejor venta
- 99%
- Punto medio
- 50%
- Spread
- 98%
- Ultimo trade
- 51%
- Profundidad
- 788.390,97 / 2.078.703,42
Historial de precios
Esperando historial de precios
Compras
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 1% | 26,550 |
| 2% | 142,228.91 |
| 3% | 96,724.33 |
| 5% | 33,068.5 |
| 7% | 25,373.25 |
| 8% | 10 |
| 9% | 10,666.66 |
| 10% | 3,003.12 |
Ventas
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 99% | 1.337.887,4 |
| 98% | 199.659,27 |
| 97% | 130.048,84 |
| 96% | 96.749,74 |
| 95% | 25.813,64 |
| 94% | 5416,67 |
| 93% | 46.562,6 |
| 92% | 15.850 |
Trades
Trades recientes
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 49% 5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 51% 230.5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 51% 19.23 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 52% 3.08 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 52% 3.08 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 49% 3.06 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 51% 7.1 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 49% 5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 49% 5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?Yes 52% 5 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 49% 3.06 shares
- Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?No 49% 3.06 shares