Mercado de Polymarket
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.
- Probabilidad
- 6.9%
- Volumen
- $3.62M
- Liquidez
- $69.29K
- Finaliza
- Jan 1, 2027
- Mejor compra
- 6.9%
- Mejor venta
- 7%
- Spread
- 0.1%
- Ultimo trade
- 6.9%
Outcomes
Resultados del mercado
Precio en vivo
Precio y liquidez
Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.
- Mejor compra
- 0.1%
- Mejor venta
- 99.9%
- Punto medio
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Ultimo trade
- 93.1%
- Profundidad
- 2.806.080,45 / 1.835.651,41
Historial de precios
Esperando historial de precios
Compras
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 2,237,182.59 |
| 0.2% | 123,269.91 |
| 0.3% | 89,672 |
| 0.4% | 26,500 |
| 0.5% | 15,640 |
| 0.6% | 98,175.66 |
| 0.7% | 69,722.78 |
| 0.8% | 102,008.5 |
Ventas
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 1.132.000 |
| 99.8% | 11,21 |
| 99.7% | 200.000 |
| 99.6% | 100.000 |
| 99.5% | 50.000 |
| 98.9% | 90.000 |
| 98.8% | 50.005,11 |
| 98.7% | 48.558,44 |
Trades
Trades recientes
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?Yes 6.9% 684.44 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93.1% 107.41 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93.1% 6 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 8 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 1.07 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 1.07 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 1.08 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 1.07 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 1.07 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93% 1.07 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93.1% 1.07 shares
- Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?No 93.1% 1.07 shares