Mercado de Polymarket

Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?

This market will resolve to “Yes” if any wallet labeled as belonging to Satoshi Nakamoto on Arkham’s Intel Explorer shows an “Outflow” or “Swaps” transaction at any time between January 9, 2026, 1:00 PM ET and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No.” The resolution source for this market is Arkham’s Intel Explorer, specifically the entity page for Satoshi Nakamoto available at https://intel.arkm.com/explorer/entity/satoshi-nakamoto If Arkham becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve based on a consensus of credible sources.

En vivo
Probabilidad
6.9%
Volumen
$3.62M
Liquidez
$69.29K
Finaliza
Jan 1, 2027
Mejor compra
6.9%
Mejor venta
7%
Spread
0.1%
Ultimo trade
6.9%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 7% Current quote
No 93.1% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
93.1%
Profundidad
2.806.080,45 / 1.835.651,41

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%2,237,182.59
0.2%123,269.91
0.3%89,672
0.4%26,500
0.5%15,640
0.6%98,175.66
0.7%69,722.78
0.8%102,008.5

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%1.132.000
99.8%11,21
99.7%200.000
99.6%100.000
99.5%50.000
98.9%90.000
98.8%50.005,11
98.7%48.558,44

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    Yes 6.9% 684.44 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93.1% 107.41 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93.1% 6 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93% 8 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93% 1.07 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93% 1.07 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93% 1.08 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93% 1.07 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93% 1.07 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93% 1.07 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93.1% 1.07 shares
  • Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?
    No 93.1% 1.07 shares