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Mercado de Polymarket

Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).

En vivo
MarketLive pricing
Probabilidad
26%
Volumen
$40.28K
Liquidez
$3.21K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
26%
Mejor venta
27%
Spread
1%
Ultimo trade
26%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 26.5% Current quote
No 73.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
Unavailable
Profundidad
14.837,17 / 28.220,9

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%9,176.38
2%9.93
3%1,723.24
4%11.49
6%2,561.62
10%831.97
11%11.77
13%59.25

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%8032,31
98%20,66
97%6,66
96%6329,5
95%52,7
94%98,85
93%4916,85
90%900

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 26% 6.1 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 73% 20 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 26.6% 218.77 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 45.7% 218.77 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 45% 5.29 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 66% 1.52 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 56.4% 19.98 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 57% 7 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 67% 39.77 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    No 68% 7 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 34% 47.06 shares
  • Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.8% before 2027?
    Yes 48% 37.11 shares