Mercado de Polymarket
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Treasury 10-year yield is lower than the listed value for any date between November 11, 2025 and December 31, 2026. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market is the Department of the treasury, specially the data listed under "Daily Treasury Par Yield Curve Rates" for the column "10 Yr" (see: https://home.treasury.gov/resource-center/data-chart-center/interest-rates/TextView?type=daily_treasury_yield_curve&field_tdr_date_value=2025).
En vivo
- Probabilidad
- 43.6%
- Volumen
- $40.92K
- Liquidez
- $5.22K
- Finaliza
- Dec 31, 2026
- Mejor compra
- 27.6%
- Mejor venta
- 43.7%
- Spread
- 16.1%
- Ultimo trade
- 43.6%
Outcomes
Resultados del mercado
Precio en vivo
Precio y liquidez
Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.
- Mejor compra
- 0.1%
- Mejor venta
- 99.9%
- Punto medio
- 50%
- Spread
- 99.8%
- Ultimo trade
- 56.8%
- Profundidad
- 124.614,11 / 41.017,69
Historial de precios
Esperando historial de precios
Historial no disponible
Compras
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 0.1% | 110,364.11 |
| 0.2% | 2,664 |
| 0.3% | 200 |
| 1% | 4,000 |
| 3.1% | 1,154.97 |
| 5.8% | 844.31 |
| 5.9% | 606.84 |
| 6% | 1,000 |
Ventas
| Precio | Tamano |
|---|---|
| 99.9% | 6679,33 |
| 99.7% | 10.000 |
| 99% | 6000 |
| 97.6% | 122,32 |
| 96.5% | 100 |
| 96% | 4620,74 |
| 93% | 1954,71 |
| 90% | 39,38 |
Trades
Trades recientes
Latest visible trades for this market.
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 56.7% 19.1 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 50.1% 2.4 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Yes 43.6% 6.36 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 53% 14.65 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 53% 19.99 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 54% 41 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 50.9% 16.67 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Yes 47% 7 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 47.4% 25.71 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 47.4% 4.63 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?No 68.2% 14.65 shares
- Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.9% before 2027?Yes 28% 7 shares