Mercado de Polymarket

Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?

The FED rate is defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range. The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings. This market will resolve according to the upper bound of the Federal Reserve’s target federal funds range after the December 2026 Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting, currently scheduled for December 8-9, 2026. This market may resolve immediately after the statement for the FOMC’s December meeting, with relevant information about the FOMC’s decision on the target federal funds range, has been issued. If no FOMC decision on the target federal funds range for their December meeting has been issued by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the upper bound of the target federal funds range at that time. The upper bound of the target federal funds range will be rounded to the nearest 25 basis points for resolution of this market. If the upper bound of the target federal funds range falls exactly between two listed options, it will be rounded away from zero (e.g. if the upper bound is 2.875, with listed options of 3.0 & 2.75, this market will resolve to 3.0). The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Federal Reserve (https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/openmarket.htm).

En vivo
Probabilidad
11.1%
Volumen
$418.44K
Liquidez
$9.73K
Finaliza
Dec 9, 2026
Mejor compra
11%
Mejor venta
11.8%
Spread
0.8%
Ultimo trade
11.1%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 11.4% Current quote
No 88.6% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
88.9%
Profundidad
2.278.203,11 / 64.647,13

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%2,161,550.3
0.2%1,724
0.3%100,000
0.5%10,000
0.6%17.42
1.7%35.53
1.9%2,115.46
2%90.27

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%13.873,26
99.8%7500
99.7%10.908,77
99.6%5000
99.4%2500
99.3%10,1
99%1250
98.9%15

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 11.1% 100 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 11.1% 5 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 11.1% 136.73 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 11.1% 11.5 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    No 88.8% 1.87 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 11% 47.37 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 12.5% 161.4 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 13.9% 57.88 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 14% 52.8 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    Yes 14.2% 0.12 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    No 81.5% 15.24 shares
  • Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026?
    No 85.6% 5.02 shares