Mercado de Polymarket

Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the United States commences a military offensive intended to establish control over any portion of Iran by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, land de facto controlled by Iran or the United States as of November 4, 2025 12:00 PM ET, will be considered the sovereign territory of that country. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible sources.

En vivo
Probabilidad
12%
Volumen
$37.87M
Liquidez
$513.25K
Finaliza
Dec 31, 2026
Mejor compra
12%
Mejor venta
13%
Spread
1%
Ultimo trade
12%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 12.5% Current quote
No 87.5% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
1%
Mejor venta
99%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
98%
Ultimo trade
13%
Profundidad
4.722.928,8 / 924.860,8

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
1%2,370,123.29
2%266,576.3
3%628,911.83
4%119,149.67
5%107,715.24
6%122,289.94
7%36,544.33
8%109,401.58

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99%189.514,75
98%22.378,08
97%6503,92
96%1024
95%18.725
94%1000
93%8,83
92%2356

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes 13% 7.69 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 1.24 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 88% 300 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 0.27 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes 12% 64.51 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 0.29 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 0.01 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 5,000 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 0.23 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 88% 56.82 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    Yes 13% 192.31 shares
  • Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
    No 87% 0.98 shares