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Mercado de Polymarket

Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?

This market will resolve according to the seasonally adjusted real GDP growth rate for the United States in 2026, as reported in the Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) "Advance Estimate" release for Q4 of 2026, estimated to be released in January 2027. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product Note: The relevant data will be the full-year real GDP growth rate as stated in the advance estimate, typically expressed as the percentage change from the annual level in 2025 to the annual level in 2026. Any revisions to this figure made after the release of the advance estimate will not be considered for this market's resolution.

En vivo
Probabilidad
7%
Volumen
$2.65K
Liquidez
$4.47K
Finaliza
Jan 29, 2027
Mejor compra
4.6%
Mejor venta
8.7%
Spread
4.1%
Ultimo trade
7%

Outcomes

Resultados del mercado

Yes 6.7% Current quote
No 93.4% Current quote

Precio en vivo

Precio y liquidez

Compra, venta, punto medio, spread y profundidad actuales para este resultado.

Mejor compra
0.1%
Mejor venta
99.9%
Punto medio
50%
Spread
99.8%
Ultimo trade
93%
Profundidad
41.212,87 / 55.220,84

Historial de precios

Esperando historial de precios

Historial no disponible

Compras

PrecioTamano
0.1%37,725
0.2%2,787
0.4%5
2%458
4.5%122.87
4.6%50
4.7%65

Ventas

PrecioTamano
99.9%263,38
99.7%10.000
99.6%26.000
99.5%8,44
98.5%13,3
98%1800
97.9%7,48
95%20

Trades

Trades recientes

Latest visible trades for this market.

  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    Yes 7% 5 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    Yes 7% 5 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    Yes 6.8% 5 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    No 97.9% 80 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    No 97.4% 75 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    No 97.9% 50 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    No 98% 42 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    Yes 11.7% 34.25 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    Yes 5.5% 82.67 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    No 94.6% 1.09 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    No 97.3% 1.1 shares
  • Will US GDP growth in 2026 be between 1.5% and 2.0%?
    Yes 3.1% 38.8 shares
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