Polymarket Trader

basedcigany

0x0015c5a76490d303e837d79dd5cf6a3825e4d5b0

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $13.9K
Realized PnL: $8.63K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 7
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.6%
Current value: $9.86K
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $145.03
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: -$6.92

No position

Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98%
Current value: $3.18K
Potential payout: $3.25K
Potential profit: $66.55
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$7.92

No position

2026 Balance of Power: Other

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 99.5%
Current value: $866.9
Potential payout: $871.7
Potential profit: $4.79
User PnL: $3.48

No position

Will Sweden win on 2026-06-14?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$147

Under position

Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $250
Potential profit: $250
User PnL: -$11

Yes position

Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $100
Potential profit: $100
User PnL: -$8

Yes position

Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?

Ends Jun 21, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $85
Potential profit: $85
User PnL: -$7.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Donald Trump win the 2024 US Presidential Election?

Ends Nov 5, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.29K

Chiefs position

Chiefs vs. Giants

Ends Sep 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $926.33

No position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $357.92

No position

Will FSV Mainz 05 win on 2025-10-18?

Ends Oct 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $262.81

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET

Ends Apr 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $255

Demoor position

Andrew Tate vs. Chase Demoor

Ends Dec 20, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $219.78

Yes position

Will Silkeborg IF win on 2025-10-17?

Ends Oct 17, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $208.23

Yes position

Over $60M committed to the Ranger public sale?

Ends Feb 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $205

Yes position

Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $200.01

Yes position

Will Our Homeland Movement (Mi Hazánk) finish with the third-most seats in the next Hungarian parliamentary election?

Ends Apr 12, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $195.19

Yes position

Over $10M committed to the Trove public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $172.75

T1 position

LoL: T1 vs KT Rolster (BO5)

Ends Nov 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.99

No position

Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.9%
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $128.4

Rams position

Rams vs. Ravens

Ends Oct 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $121.16

BNK FEARX position

LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs BNK FEARX - Game 2 Winner

Ends Mar 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $120

Yes position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after September 2024 meeting?

Ends Sep 18, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $117.73

No position

D4vd arrested by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $107.94

Yes position

Over $1.2B committed to the MegaETH public sale?

Ends Jan 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.42

No position

Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 97.8%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $93.02

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?

Ends Dec 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $92.9

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?

Ends Dec 19, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $89

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from December 19 to December 26, 2025?

Ends Dec 26, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $82

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?

Ends Jan 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $74.85

No position

Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?

Ends Nov 7, 2028

Implied probability: 98.4%
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: $73.75

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 0 IR Iran?

Yes 9% 85 shares
Exact Score: Belgium 3 - 1 IR Iran?

Yes 8% 100 shares
Belgium vs. IR Iran: Both Teams to Score AND Will Belgium win on 2026-06-21?

31.5% 253.97 shares
Tunisia vs. Japan: O/U 1.5 AND Will Japan win on 2026-06-21?

55.1% 181.33 shares
Ecuador vs. Curaçao: O/U 3.5 AND Will Ecuador win on 2026-06-20?

39.3% 177.95 shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 99% 1,227.67 shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.6% 9,448.84 shares
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.2% 5,882.97 shares
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.2% 5,932.06 shares
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?

No 99% 1,171.3 shares
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.8% 3,500 shares
Will Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

No 98.4% 5,000 shares