Polymarket Trader

denikv

0x00193568a35a85e5f3dd9eaa065c59a294da6629

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $8.65K
Realized PnL: $3.23K
Win rate: 90%
Open positions: 19
Closed positions: 10
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $9.98K
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Will Czechia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $5
Potential payout: $10K
Potential profit: $10K
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$25

Yes position

Will Turkiye win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.5%
Current value: $31.5
Potential payout: $7K
Potential profit: $6.97K
Multiplier: 222.22x
User PnL: -$17.5

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 95.8%
Current value: $6.45K
Potential payout: $6.73K
Potential profit: $286.08
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $272.36

Yes position

Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.3%
Current value: $112.5
Potential payout: $5K
Potential profit: $4.89K
Multiplier: 44.44x
User PnL: $52.5

Yes position

Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $26
Potential payout: $4K
Potential profit: $3.97K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.7%
Current value: $19.5
Potential payout: $3K
Potential profit: $2.98K
Multiplier: 153.85x
User PnL: -$16.5

Yes position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 4%
Current value: $79
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $1.92K
Multiplier: 25.32x
User PnL: -$93

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 64.5%
Current value: $1.07K
Potential payout: $1.66K
Potential profit: $590.7
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $270.05

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 2.4%
Current value: $23.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $976.5
Multiplier: 42.55x
User PnL: $7.5

Yes position

Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 5.7%
Current value: $56.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $943.5
Multiplier: 17.70x
User PnL: $2.5

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 67%
Current value: $373.5
Potential payout: $557.47
Potential profit: $183.97
Multiplier: 1.49x
User PnL: $125.71

Yes position

Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $500
Potential profit: $500
User PnL: -$20

Yes position

Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.4%
Current value: $27.75
Potential payout: $377.53
Potential profit: $349.78
Multiplier: 13.61x
User PnL: $1.32

No position

Will Trump attend 1 World Cup match?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 34.5%
Current value: $103.47
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $196.53
Multiplier: 2.90x
User PnL: -$31.53

Yes position

Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $300
Potential profit: $300
User PnL: -$18

No position

Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 49.5%
Current value: $148.49
Potential payout: $299.98
Potential profit: $151.49
Multiplier: 2.02x
User PnL: -$28.5

Yes position

Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 55.5%
Current value: $72.64
Potential payout: $130.88
Potential profit: $58.24
Multiplier: 1.80x
User PnL: $13.74

Yes position

Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 26.5%
Current value: $24.34
Potential payout: $91.84
Potential profit: $67.5
Multiplier: 3.77x
User PnL: -$46.26

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.32K

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $431.39

Yes position

Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $394.56

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $380.58

Yes position

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $232.82

Yes position

Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Ends Jun 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $183.1

No position

Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $140.07

Yes position

Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.4

Yes position

Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.36

Yes position

Trump declassifies new UFO files by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 94.3% 183.99 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 82% 100 shares
Will Trump physically sign US x Iran deal?

Yes 8% 113.8 shares
Will Senegal win on 2026-06-16?

Yes 4% 500 shares
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?

No 59% 66.91 shares
Will Egypt win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 6% 300 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 37% 1,000 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 39.3% 1,000 shares
Will Belgium win on 2026-06-15?

Yes 29% 2,000 shares
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?

Yes 45% 130.88 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 7.3% 220 shares
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of July 2026?

Yes 7.1% 18.4 shares