Polymarket Trader

Richard.Tysen

@MingChen298504

0x00205869afa0fb65a86593abba6af620bfc316b9

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $881.34
Realized PnL: $4.6K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 24
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.46K
Potential profit: $2.46K
User PnL: -$415.67

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on May 15?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.33K
Potential profit: $2.33K
User PnL: -$21.43

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $1.17K
Potential profit: $1.17K
User PnL: -$477.35

No position

Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 22°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $801.26
Potential profit: $801.26
User PnL: -$16.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 23°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $508.6
Potential profit: $508.6
User PnL: -$180.9

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET

Ends May 18, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $239
Potential profit: $239
User PnL: -$13.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $222.16
Potential profit: $222.16
User PnL: -$158.56

No position

Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 28°C on May 16?

Ends May 16, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $216.8
Potential profit: $216.8
User PnL: -$204.59

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C or higher on June 9?

Ends Jun 9, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $214.87
Potential profit: $214.87
User PnL: -$19.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Panama City be 27°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.5
Potential payout: $200.77
Potential profit: $200.27
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$193.28

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 28°C on May 31?

Ends May 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $177.96
Potential profit: $177.96
User PnL: -$167.92

Yes position

Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $166.71
Potential profit: $166.71
User PnL: -$4.26

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 17?

Ends Jun 17, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $163.66
Potential profit: $163.66
User PnL: -$49.1

No position

Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 80-81°F on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $150
Potential profit: $150
User PnL: -$146.85

No position

Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $149.35
Potential profit: $149.35
User PnL: -$87.25

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 30°C on June 4?

Ends Jun 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $146.42
Potential profit: $146.42
User PnL: -$114.65

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $126.88
Potential payout: $145
Potential profit: $18.13
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Busan be 25°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 96.5%
Current value: $136.47
Potential payout: $141.42
Potential profit: $4.95
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $2.12

No position

Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 96%
Current value: $132.35
Potential payout: $137.86
Potential profit: $5.51
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: -$1.46

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 97.6%
Current value: $129.81
Potential payout: $133
Potential profit: $3.19
Multiplier: 1.02x
User PnL: -$0.19

No position

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 14°C on May 5?

Ends May 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $132.17
Potential profit: $132.17
User PnL: -$127.34

No position

Will the highest temperature in Munich be 28°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 98.8%
Current value: $128.44
Potential payout: $130
Potential profit: $1.56
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $2.36

No position

Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?

Ends Jun 18, 2026

Implied probability: 92.5%
Current value: $113.37
Potential payout: $122.56
Potential profit: $9.19
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $4.37

No position

Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

Ends Jun 19, 2026

Implied probability: 93.2%
Current value: $113.53
Potential payout: $121.88
Potential profit: $8.35
Multiplier: 1.07x
User PnL: -$0.27

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $1.7K

No position

US/Israel strike Yemen by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $787.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 26°C or higher on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $199.22

Yes position

Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 7th?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $175.44

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 19°C on May 1?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.41

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - April 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $161.72

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 29?

Ends May 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $159.14

Yes position

Will France win on 2026-06-16?

Ends Jun 16, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $118.87

No position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 24°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $106.6

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on May 10?

Ends May 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $98.53

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on March 29?

Ends Mar 29, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $92.98

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on June 5?

Ends Jun 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $90.96

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 27°C on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $88.41

Yes position

Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?

Ends May 15, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $81.66

No position

Will Trump visit China by March 31?

Ends Oct 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.68

No position

Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on March 27?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $67.24

No position

Will the highest temperature in Lagos be 28°C or below on April 29?

Ends Apr 29, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $61.37

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on April 1?

Ends Apr 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $60.17

No position

Will SpaceX file for an IPO by March 31, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $59.73

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 23°C on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $54

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 24°C on June 7?

Ends Jun 7, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $52.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 22°C or below on May 6?

Ends May 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.33

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 25°C or higher on April 30?

Ends Apr 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $50.55

No position

Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 30?

Ends May 30, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.39

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?

No 98.4% 23.82 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?

No 97.9% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?

No 97.9% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 25°C on June 18?

No 97.9% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?

No 97.8% 11 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?

No 97.6% 49.67 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 19?

No 94% 24.02 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?

No 94% 25 shares
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 34°C on June 18?

No 93% 32.15 shares
Will the highest temperature in Munich be 31°C on June 19?

No 97.7% 133 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

No 93.7% 32.06 shares
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 34°C on June 19?

No 93.3% 89.82 shares