Yes position
Will 9 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $7.69
- Potential payout
- $3.08K
- Potential profit
- $3.07K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$22.31
Polymarket Trader
lance89
0x003ad123d1fa2d5c3f1b97498bd70105a925dd0b
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $84.78
- Realized PnL
- $15.72
- Win rate
- 16.7%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $5
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $2K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$18
Yes position
Will 7 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.89
- Potential payout
- $1.95K
- Potential profit
- $1.95K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.11
Yes position
Will 11 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $2.81
- Potential payout
- $1.87K
- Potential profit
- $1.87K
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$12.19
Yes position
Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $4.46
- Potential payout
- $1.79K
- Potential profit
- $1.78K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$8.04
Yes position
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.3%
- Current value
- $2.9
- Potential payout
- $1.16K
- Potential profit
- $1.16K
- Multiplier
- 400.00x
- User PnL
- -$18.1
Yes position
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.4%
- Current value
- $3.92
- Potential payout
- $1.12K
- Potential profit
- $1.12K
- Multiplier
- 285.71x
- User PnL
- -$15.08
Yes position
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.1%
- Current value
- $8.12
- Potential payout
- $737.73
- Potential profit
- $729.62
- Multiplier
- 90.91x
- User PnL
- -$4.38
Yes position
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $1.76
- Potential payout
- $320.12
- Potential profit
- $318.36
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- -$7.24
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
Ends Apr 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $76
- Potential profit
- $76
- User PnL
- -$19
No position
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 85.5%
- Current value
- $36.64
- Potential payout
- $42.86
- Potential profit
- $6.21
- Multiplier
- 1.17x
- User PnL
- $6.64
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $30.72
- Potential profit
- $30.72
- User PnL
- -$7
No position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 21.9%
- Current value
- $6.6
- Potential payout
- $30.14
- Potential profit
- $23.54
- Multiplier
- 4.57x
- User PnL
- -$13.4
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $9.09
- Potential profit
- $9.09
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?
Ends Jun 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.85
- Potential profit
- $1.85
- User PnL
- -$1
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,400 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.45
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $25.32
No position
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 98.1%
- Multiplier
- 1.02x
- User PnL
- $3.65
No position
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.9%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $2.46
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,400 and $2,500 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,800 on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be greater than $3,400 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,800 and $2,900 on January 23?
Ends Jan 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,300 and $3,400 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,900 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $3,000 and $3,100 on January 24?
Ends Jan 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,600 and $2,700 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Fed increases interest rates by 25+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$1
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be less than $2,500 on January 30?
Ends Jan 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on January 29?
Ends Jan 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET
Ends Apr 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,500 and $2,600 on February 1?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$3
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$10.16
No position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
No position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$14
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.5% 200 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.4% 250 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.8% 125 shares
- Will 10 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.2% 1,785.71 shares
- Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.3% 737.73 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - April 17, 5:45PM-5:50PM ETUp 1% 171.49 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.3% 384.62 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 4.1% 73.17 shares
- Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 4.1% 121.95 shares
- Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 1.3% 384.62 shares
- Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.8% 625 shares
- Will 8 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 0.5% 1,000 shares