Yes position
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.5%
- Current value
- $9.95K
- Potential payout
- $685.96K
- Potential profit
- $676.01K
- Multiplier
- 68.97x
- User PnL
- $1.03K
Polymarket Trader
99problems123
0x00425c692a667981118f679ef68fdc775257321e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $178.72K
- Realized PnL
- $333.54K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.6%
- Current value
- $2.75K
- Potential payout
- $500K
- Potential profit
- $497.25K
- Multiplier
- 181.82x
- User PnL
- $750
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $231.8K
- Potential profit
- $231.8K
- User PnL
- -$70.17K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $222.43K
- Potential profit
- $222.43K
- User PnL
- -$62.59K
Yes position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $185.58K
- Potential profit
- $185.58K
- User PnL
- -$4.92K
Yes position
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $178.68K
- Potential profit
- $178.68K
- User PnL
- -$7.15K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?
Ends May 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $176.05K
- Potential profit
- $176.05K
- User PnL
- -$7.08K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $154.41K
- Potential profit
- $154.41K
- User PnL
- -$14.82K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $117.97K
- Potential payout
- $118.15K
- Potential profit
- $177.22
- User PnL
- $44.14K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?
Ends May 22, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $79.09K
- Potential profit
- $79.09K
- User PnL
- -$5.83K
No position
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $78.77K
- Potential profit
- $78.77K
- User PnL
- -$4.67K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?
Ends May 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $68.38K
- Potential profit
- $68.38K
- User PnL
- -$9.9K
No position
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $61.5K
- Potential profit
- $61.5K
- User PnL
- -$61.5
Yes position
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.12K
- Potential profit
- $59.12K
- User PnL
- -$90.93
Yes position
Will Jerome Powell be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.12K
- Potential profit
- $59.12K
- User PnL
- -$90.93
Yes position
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.12K
- Potential profit
- $59.12K
- User PnL
- -$90.93
Yes position
Will Christopher Waller be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.12K
- Potential profit
- $59.12K
- User PnL
- -$90.93
Yes position
Will Michelle Bowman be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.12K
- Potential profit
- $59.12K
- User PnL
- -$90.93
Yes position
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.12K
- Potential profit
- $59.12K
- User PnL
- -$90.93
Yes position
Will Stephen Miran be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Ends Oct 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $59.12K
- Potential profit
- $59.12K
- User PnL
- -$90.93
No position
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?
Ends Nov 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 82.5%
- Current value
- $48.05K
- Potential payout
- $58.24K
- Potential profit
- $10.19K
- Multiplier
- 1.21x
- User PnL
- $11.51K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?
Ends May 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $51.05K
- Potential profit
- $51.05K
- User PnL
- -$5.08K
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $45.78K
- Potential profit
- $45.78K
- User PnL
- -$6.89K
No position
Will Anthropic have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $43.86K
- Potential profit
- $43.86K
- User PnL
- -$3.47K
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $57.93K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 15?
Ends Apr 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $44.51K
Yes position
US x Iran ceasefire by April 30?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.97K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $22.06K
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- $16.56K
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?
Ends May 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $16.01K
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.84K
Yes position
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 7?
Ends Apr 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $13.69K
No position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $11.65K
No position
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.59K
No position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.26K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- User PnL
- $8.53K
No position
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.02K
No position
Will Thomas Massie be the Republican nominee for KY-04?
Ends May 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $7.35K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.16K
Yes position
Will the San Antonio Spurs win the 2026 NBA Finals?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $7.08K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $6.5K
No position
Will Google have the second-best AI model at the end of February 2026?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.82K
Yes position
Will Claude 5 be released by March 15, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.78K
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.54K
Yes position
US forces enter Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $5.25K
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.94K
Yes position
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.8K
Yes position
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $4.7K
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.1% 19,712.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 84.2% 2,784.21 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 86% 2,262 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 86% 1,316.77 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 85.2% 962.85 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 76.9% 2,366.92 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 78% 2,040.79 shares
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?No 69% 8,741.99 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 85% 12,084.62 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?No 6% 4,641.15 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 74.8% 2,516.24 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 72% 2,539.6 shares