Polymarket Trader

zk1984

0x00497937c03436c8b1c033123d282688c7976034

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $22.51K
Realized PnL: $5.71K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 18
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 75.5%
Current value: $4.85K
Potential payout: $6.43K
Potential profit: $1.57K
Multiplier: 1.32x
User PnL: -$263.35

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 82.5%
Current value: $3.8K
Potential payout: $4.61K
Potential profit: $806.74
Multiplier: 1.21x
User PnL: -$108.49

No position

Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 93%
Current value: $2.88K
Potential payout: $3.1K
Potential profit: $217
Multiplier: 1.08x
User PnL: $339

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.2%
Current value: $2.47K
Potential payout: $2.57K
Potential profit: $97.54
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $159.15

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 23.9%
Current value: $593
Potential payout: $2.49K
Potential profit: $1.89K
Multiplier: 4.19x
User PnL: -$819.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 58.5%
Current value: $1.17K
Potential payout: $2K
Potential profit: $830
Multiplier: 1.71x
User PnL: -$408

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $1.59K
Potential payout: $1.86K
Potential profit: $270.17
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: -$74.84

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 96.6%
Current value: $1.64K
Potential payout: $1.7K
Potential profit: $57.8
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $223.2

No position

Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 97.4%
Current value: $973.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $26.5
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $113.5

No position

Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 95.9%
Current value: $958.5
Potential payout: $1K
Potential profit: $41.5
Multiplier: 1.04x
User PnL: $46.9

Yes position

5kt meteor strike in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 27.5%
Current value: $219.99
Potential payout: $799.98
Potential profit: $579.98
Multiplier: 3.64x
User PnL: -$154.99

No position

Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.2%
Current value: $582.9
Potential payout: $600
Potential profit: $17.1
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $36.9

No position

Bitcoin all time high by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 97.3%
Current value: $467.63
Potential payout: $480.61
Potential profit: $12.98
Multiplier: 1.03x
User PnL: $35.08

Yes position

Will 5-6 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $99.99
Potential payout: $259.71
Potential profit: $159.72
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $29.87

No position

Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 30.5%
Current value: $61
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $139
Multiplier: 3.28x
User PnL: -$61

Yes position

Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 12.5%
Current value: $25
Potential payout: $200
Potential profit: $175
Multiplier: 8.00x
User PnL: -$19

No position

Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 98.9%
Current value: $98.84
Potential payout: $99.99
Potential profit: $1.15
Multiplier: 1.01x
User PnL: $30.85

Yes position

SpaceX Starship fully reusable before 2027?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $15.14
Potential payout: $34.8
Potential profit: $19.66
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: $2.82

Resolved Context

Closed positions

No position

Ethereum all time high in Q4 2024?

Ends Dec 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $710

No position

SpaceX Starship 7th launch by Jan 10?

Ends Jan 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $567.13

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $514.8

Yes position

Google Maps renames it "Gulf of America" before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $363.82

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $289.3

No position

Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2025?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $270

Yes position

Will Ethereum hit $4,000 by December 31?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $237.04

Yes position

Ethereum ETF approved by May 31?

Ends May 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $227.85

Yes position

Will the Epstein documents name Donald Trump?

Ends Feb 29, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $221.77

No position

Will MicroStrategy hold 500k+ BTC before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193.02

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $193

No position

Iceland volcanic eruption by Nov 30?

Ends Nov 30, 2023

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $192.16

Yes position

Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?

Ends Jan 31, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.04

Yes position

Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 Democratic Presidential Nomination?

Ends Aug 19, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $177.01

No position

Will Berachain launch a token in January?

Ends Jan 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.5

No position

Will GPT-5 be released by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $150

No position

Will Ethereum dip to $1,500.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $147

Yes position

Will Susan Collins vote to confirm Robert Kennedy Jr. as Secretary of Health and Human Services?

Ends Dec 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $142.34

No position

Will Ethereum hit $7,000.00 by March 31?

Ends Mar 31, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $136.3

No position

Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026?

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Implied probability: 91.1%
Multiplier: 1.10x
User PnL: $133.63

No position

Ethereum all time high in 2024?

Ends Dec 30, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $130

Yes position

Will the Eagles win Super Bowl 2025?

Ends Feb 9, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $128.75

No position

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 8 launch before March?

Ends Feb 28, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $126.18

Yes position

Will Google announce 1000+ new layoffs before February?

Ends Jan 31, 2024

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $124.44

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?

Yes 4.2% 70.85 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 87% 110 shares
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?

No 63% 50 shares
Will MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30?

Yes 30.7% 115.34 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?

No 94.3% 100 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?

Yes 82% 100 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 91% 600 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?

Yes 91.6% 360.33 shares
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?

Yes 77% 200 shares
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?

No 91.2% 600 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?

No 83% 260.22 shares
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?

No 88% 597.26 shares