Polymarket Trader

The15Minutes

@aljo_inc

0x0056b9fd8180924159213403203f4abfd74f7d9a

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $69.16
Realized PnL: $1.94K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 16
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will Morocco win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 1.7%
Current value: $3.67
Potential payout: $222.22
Potential profit: $218.56
Multiplier: 60.61x
User PnL: -$2.33

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?

Ends Jun 30, 2026

Implied probability: 0.2%
Current value: $0.1
Potential payout: $66.91
Potential profit: $66.81
Multiplier: 666.67x
User PnL: -$3.9

Yes position

Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 35.7%
Current value: $12.06
Potential payout: $33.82
Potential profit: $21.76
Multiplier: 2.81x
User PnL: $2.06

Yes position

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?

Ends Sep 30, 2026

Implied probability: 5.1%
Current value: $1.52
Potential payout: $30
Potential profit: $28.49
Multiplier: 19.80x
User PnL: -$1.49

Yes position

Will SpaceX's market cap be between $3.0T and $3.5T at market close on last trading day of IPO month?

Ends Jul 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.3%
Current value: $0.06
Potential payout: $25.99
Potential profit: $25.92
Multiplier: 400.00x
User PnL: -$5.04

Yes position

Will Gavi win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0.1%
Current value: $0.01
Potential payout: $21.05
Potential profit: $21.04
Multiplier: 2000.00x
User PnL: -$3.99

Yes position

Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 64.7%
Current value: $8.16
Potential payout: $12.62
Potential profit: $4.46
Multiplier: 1.55x
User PnL: $0.16

Over position

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 79.5%
Current value: $8.01
Potential payout: $10.08
Potential profit: $2.07
Multiplier: 1.26x
User PnL: $0.01

Over position

Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $8.47
Potential profit: $3.43
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: $0.04

Over position

Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 61.5%
Current value: $5.04
Potential payout: $8.2
Potential profit: $3.16
Multiplier: 1.63x
User PnL: $0.04

Germany position

Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 38.5%
Current value: $3.12
Potential payout: $8.11
Potential profit: $4.99
Multiplier: 2.60x
User PnL: $0.12

Over position

Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 85.5%
Current value: $6.04
Potential payout: $7.06
Potential profit: $1.02
Multiplier: 1.17x
User PnL: $0.04

Yes position

Germany to score first vs. Ecuador?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 67.5%
Current value: $4.29
Potential payout: $6.35
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.48x
User PnL: $0.29

Over position

Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 66.5%
Current value: $4.09
Potential payout: $6.15
Potential profit: $2.06
Multiplier: 1.50x
User PnL: $0.09

Over position

Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 87.5%
Current value: $4.97
Potential payout: $5.68
Potential profit: $0.71
Multiplier: 1.14x
User PnL: -$0.03

Yes position

Will Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-25?

Ends Jun 25, 2026

Implied probability: 83.4%
Current value: $2.98
Potential payout: $3.58
Potential profit: $0.6
Multiplier: 1.20x
User PnL: -$0.02

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $244.75

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $152.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from January 16 to January 23, 2026?

Ends Jan 23, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $129.66

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.79

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?

Ends Feb 20, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $109.39

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?

Ends Feb 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $102.72

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from January 20 to January 27, 2026?

Ends Jan 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $97.51

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from February 3 to February 10, 2026?

Ends Feb 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $80.45

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 10 to April 17, 2026?

Ends Apr 17, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $78.84

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?

Ends Apr 10, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $75.73

Yes position

Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 20°C on March 1?

Ends Mar 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $73.52

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 27 to April 3, 2026?

Ends Apr 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $58.74

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 540-559 tweets from January 13 to January 20, 2026?

Ends Jan 20, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $52.97

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 17 to February 24, 2026?

Ends Feb 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $51.85

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?

Ends Mar 6, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.68

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 26 to June 2, 2026?

Ends Jun 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.28

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?

Ends Apr 28, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49.14

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 20 to March 27, 2026?

Ends Mar 27, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?

Ends Mar 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $46.03

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?

Ends Mar 10, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $45.2

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?

Ends May 8, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $42.04

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 24 to March 31, 2026?

Ends Mar 31, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $38.71

Yes position

Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from March 31 to April 7, 2026?

Ends Apr 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: $37.16

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 2.5

Over 65% 6.15 shares
Curaçao vs. Côte d'Ivoire: O/U 1.5

Over 85% 7.06 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5

Over 80% 3.75 shares
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 19 to June 26, 2026?

Yes 48.9% 39 shares
Spread: Germany (-1.5)

Germany 37% 8.11 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 63% 1.59 shares
Will Germany win on 2026-06-25?

Yes 63% 3.17 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 1.5

Over 61% 8.2 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: Germany O/U 0.5

Over 88% 5.68 shares
Germany to score first vs. Ecuador?

Yes 63% 6.35 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 2.5

Over 59% 8.47 shares
Ecuador vs. Germany: O/U 1.5

Over 79% 6.33 shares