No position
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?
Ends Sep 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 64%
- Current value
- $203.43
- Potential payout
- $317.86
- Potential profit
- $114.43
- Multiplier
- 1.56x
- User PnL
- $25.43
Polymarket Trader
daadras
0x005daf438c598311fdb6d456defc17e1e6e937df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $203.43
- Realized PnL
- $396.43
- Win rate
- 66.7%
- Open positions
- 1
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $212.53
Yes position
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $201.86
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.26
Yes position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 9, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.6
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $10.51
No position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.82
No position
US x Iran nuclear talks resume by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
US strikes Iran by January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.41
No position
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.01
No position
Iran strike on US military by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.99
No position
Will Iran announce a new supreme leader on March 8, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.59
No position
US strikes Iran by February 2, 2026?
Ends Feb 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.57
No position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.52
No position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
No position
US strikes Iran by February 1, 2026?
Ends Feb 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.05
No position
Will Khamenei leave Iran by Jan 31?
Ends Jan 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
Yes position
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 28, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$2.54
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.8%
- Multiplier
- 133.33x
- User PnL
- -$2.72
Yes position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$3.42
No position
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$6.9
No position
US x Iran meeting by February 6, 2026?
Ends Feb 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$13
Yes position
US strikes Iran by February 13, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$16
No position
Moltbook AI agent sues a human by Feb 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$19.72
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by September 30?No 56% 317.86 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 6% 618.18 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 4.3% 355.58 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 4.2% 1,758.9 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 4.3% 912.54 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?Yes 4.3% 289.29 shares
- Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?No 0.7% 14.58 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 0.6% 46.25 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?Yes 8% 46.25 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?Yes 0.8% 447.38 shares
- Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?Yes 33% 618.18 shares
- Will Trump talk to Reza Pahlavi in March?Yes 13.5% 1,510.47 shares