Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 95.5%
- Current value
- $184.84
- Potential payout
- $193.55
- Potential profit
- $8.71
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- $4.84
Polymarket Trader
Trigram-Qian
0x0072330279ce53696e1560e237bad6e646526bb5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $203.53
- Realized PnL
- $132.75
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 5
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Brazil win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.6%
- Current value
- $3.3
- Potential payout
- $59.52
- Potential profit
- $56.22
- Multiplier
- 18.02x
- User PnL
- -$1.7
Yes position
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.1%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $52.08
- Potential profit
- $47.89
- Multiplier
- 12.42x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
Yes position
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 13.8%
- Current value
- $4.19
- Potential payout
- $30.49
- Potential profit
- $26.3
- Multiplier
- 7.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.81
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 95%
- Current value
- $7
- Potential payout
- $7.37
- Potential profit
- $0.37
- Multiplier
- 1.05x
- User PnL
- -$0
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?
Ends Jun 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- User PnL
- $17.67
Yes position
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.1%
- User PnL
- $13.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 33°C on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.93
No position
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11.84
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 28°C on June 8?
Ends Jun 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 24?
Ends Jun 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8.16
No position
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $6.04
Yes position
Will Putin visit China by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $5.37
Yes position
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.85
No position
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 78-79°F on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.54
Yes position
Will Donald Trump publicly insult Marjorie Taylor Greene by May 31, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.01
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.67
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.29
Yes position
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.8%
- Multiplier
- 6.78x
- User PnL
- $3.12
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 23, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET
Ends Jun 23, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.74
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.68
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on June 7?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.48
No position
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 36°C on June 2?
Ends Jun 2, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.38
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on June 25?
Ends Jun 25, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.28
No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.2
Alexander Zverev position
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Alexander Zverev
Ends Jun 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.18
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C or higher on June 4?
Ends Jun 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.96
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 32°C on June 26?No 95% 7.37 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 26?Yes 93% 193.55 shares
- Will Ronaldo Cry at the World Cup?Yes 62% 14.08 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp 89% 12.34 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 26, 12:15AM-12:20AM ETUp 81% 12.35 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?No 99.8% 161.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?No 89.5% 49.18 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 30°C on June 26?No 88.6% 112.81 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown 99% 30.3 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:20AM-9:25AM ETDown 92% 10.87 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown 97% 41.24 shares
- Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 9:05AM-9:10AM ETDown 97% 11.34 shares