Argentina position
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.6%
- Current value
- $37.31
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.69
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- $0.31
Polymarket Trader
BernieMadoff69
0x0080de05058735d2a548036a2622dff313196b53
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $227.64
- Realized PnL
- $76.08
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 21
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
England position
Norway vs. England: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 64.6%
- Current value
- $32.31
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $17.69
- Multiplier
- 1.55x
- User PnL
- -$0.69
Spain position
Spain vs. Belgium: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 74.6%
- Current value
- $37.31
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $12.69
- Multiplier
- 1.34x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.6%
- Current value
- $11.57
- Potential payout
- $30
- Potential profit
- $18.44
- Multiplier
- 2.59x
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $22.47
- Potential profit
- $22.47
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
Ends Jul 20, 2026- Implied probability
- 43.5%
- Current value
- $8.7
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $11.3
- Multiplier
- 2.30x
- User PnL
- $0.3
No position
GTA 6 launch postponed again?
Ends Nov 19, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $18.2
- Potential payout
- $20
- Potential profit
- $1.8
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $0
Yes position
Will Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $19.99
- Potential profit
- $19.99
- User PnL
- -$9
Yes position
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?
Ends Jul 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 78.5%
- Current value
- $7.85
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.15
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.65
Yes position
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $8.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.25
Yes position
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 77.6%
- Current value
- $7.76
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.25
- Multiplier
- 1.29x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 31?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.5
No position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 83.5%
- Current value
- $8.35
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.65
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
Yes position
Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?
Ends Jan 10, 2027- Implied probability
- 83%
- Current value
- $8.3
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.7
- Multiplier
- 1.20x
- User PnL
- -$0.3
No position
Will Trump release the Epstein files by December 19?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$3.3
N
No position
Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 79.5%
- Current value
- $7.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $2.05
- Multiplier
- 1.26x
- User PnL
- -$0.35
No position
U.S. forces seize another Venezuela-linked oil ship in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $10
- User PnL
- -$8.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 45%
- Current value
- $4.5
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $5.5
- Multiplier
- 2.22x
- User PnL
- $1.2
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $10
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $5.49
No position
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 86.5%
- Current value
- $8.65
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $1.35
- Multiplier
- 1.16x
- User PnL
- -$0.15
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.5%
- Current value
- $9.95
- Potential payout
- $10
- Potential profit
- $0.05
- User PnL
- $4.95
Resolved Context
Closed positions
France position
France vs. Morocco: Team to Advance
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $11
Yes position
Fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after December 2025 meeting?
Ends Dec 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.73
Yes position
Will Gemini 3.0 be released by November 30?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $8
No position
Will Powell say "Inflation" 60+ times during October press conference?
Ends Oct 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.3
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.2
Yes position
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.14
No position
Maduro out in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3.13
No position
Will Pope Leo XIV be TIME's Person of the Year for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $3
No position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in November?
Ends Nov 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.8
Yes position
Will Elon Musk’s $1T Tesla pay deal pass?
Ends Nov 6, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.62
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2025 NYC mayoral election?
Ends Nov 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2.15
No position
Another US strike on Venezuela by January 17?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
Up position
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on January 6?
Ends Jan 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $2
No position
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.91
No position
Epstein client list released in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.9
No position
Maduro mugshot released by Monday?
Ends Jan 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.7
No position
Will Bianca Censori be the #1 searched person on Google this year?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.6
No position
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.54
Yes position
Will Lando Norris be the 2025 Drivers Champion?
Ends Dec 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.5
No position
Taylor Swift pregnant in 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.17
Yes position
Will Bad Bunny be the top Spotify artist for 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.14
Yes position
Will Trump sell 0 Gold Cards in 2025?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.1
No position
US x Venezuela military engagement by October 31?
Ends Oct 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?Yes 85% 10 shares
- US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?No 88% 10 shares
- Will the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?No 83% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 10?Yes 50% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?Yes 45% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?Yes 68% 10 shares
- Will 1250 or more tornadoes occur in the United States in 2026?Yes 86% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?Yes 67% 10 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 34°C on July 11?Yes 33% 10 shares
- Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?Yes 79% 10 shares
- Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?No 84% 10 shares
- Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?Yes 87% 10 shares