No position
Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $98.11
- Potential payout
- $98.21
- Potential profit
- $0.1
- User PnL
- $34.56
Polymarket Trader
0x0085...1d78
0x0085e8e18ef1b5aca85a0e2d1794ceeaca2c1d78
Public profile Partial data Delayed sectionDelayed section
- Open value
- $166.39
- Realized PnL
- $1.43K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 14
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 41.5%
- Current value
- $17.1
- Potential payout
- $41.2
- Potential profit
- $24.1
- Multiplier
- 2.41x
- User PnL
- -$1.18
No position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 58.5%
- Current value
- $20.49
- Potential payout
- $35.02
- Potential profit
- $14.53
- Multiplier
- 1.71x
- User PnL
- -$0.19
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.2%
- Current value
- $0.02
- Potential payout
- $14.14
- Potential profit
- $14.11
- Multiplier
- 666.67x
- User PnL
- -$6.89
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 89%
- Current value
- $6.76
- Potential payout
- $7.6
- Potential profit
- $0.84
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $0.87
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 79%
- Current value
- $3.94
- Potential payout
- $4.99
- Potential profit
- $1.05
- Multiplier
- 1.27x
- User PnL
- -$0.1
No position
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 75.5%
- Current value
- $3.63
- Potential payout
- $4.81
- Potential profit
- $1.18
- Multiplier
- 1.32x
- User PnL
- -$0.22
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.1%
- Current value
- $0.54
- Potential payout
- $3.81
- Potential profit
- $3.28
- Multiplier
- 7.12x
- User PnL
- -$2.43
No position
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.9%
- Current value
- $3.71
- Potential payout
- $3.72
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $1.34
No position
Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 55.5%
- Current value
- $2.01
- Potential payout
- $3.62
- Potential profit
- $1.61
- Multiplier
- 1.80x
- User PnL
- -$0.49
No position
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.4%
- Current value
- $3.27
- Potential payout
- $3.4
- Potential profit
- $0.12
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- -$0.02
No position
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 27°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- Current value
- $2.51
- Potential payout
- $2.52
- Potential profit
- $0.01
- User PnL
- $0.32
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 80%
- Current value
- $1.95
- Potential payout
- $2.44
- Potential profit
- $0.49
- Multiplier
- 1.25x
- User PnL
- -$0.05
No position
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 6?
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $2.35
- Potential payout
- $2.35
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $149.61
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.11
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $106.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $105.7
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $88.77
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $74.38
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 5, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $68.91
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $64.89
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $51.24
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $50.15
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $48.58
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.57
Down position
XRP Up or Down - July 5, 7PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.79
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $42.55
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $37.02
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $35.21
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.76
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.99
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 8PM ET
Ends Jul 6, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $31.66
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $30.98
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $28.58
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.54
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET
Ends Jul 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $27.49
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the highest temperature in London be 31°C on July 6?No 82% 2.44 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 28°C on July 6?No 96.9% 3.4 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 31°C on July 6?No 81% 4.99 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?Yes 68.3% 3.89 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 34°C on July 7?No 80% 4.81 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 4 to July 6, 2026?No 73% 4.49 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?No 76% 4.74 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 6?No 80% 2.86 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 16°C on July 6?No 69% 3.62 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?Yes 41.5% 10.24 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 35°C on July 6?No 63.7% 3.72 shares
- Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on July 6?No 77.9% 3.81 shares