Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $3.31K
- Potential profit
- $3.31K
- User PnL
- -$286.21
Polymarket Trader
LearnSlowly111
0x009983e518edb011dd118470ee533f7c3863386e
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $1.41K
- Realized PnL
- $18.11K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 24
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 3?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.99K
- Potential profit
- $2.99K
- User PnL
- -$84.51
No position
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.49K
- Potential profit
- $2.49K
- User PnL
- -$826.09
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 26?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.27K
- Potential profit
- $2.27K
- User PnL
- -$157.44
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?
Ends May 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.22K
- Potential profit
- $2.22K
- User PnL
- -$286.47
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 26.5%
- Current value
- $530
- Potential payout
- $2K
- Potential profit
- $1.47K
- Multiplier
- 3.77x
- User PnL
- $85
Yes position
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $64.61
- Potential payout
- $1.9K
- Potential profit
- $1.84K
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$124.55
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?
Ends May 26, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.65K
- Potential profit
- $1.65K
- User PnL
- -$112.75
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.5K
- Potential profit
- $1.5K
- User PnL
- -$185.15
Yes position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.2K
- Potential profit
- $1.2K
- User PnL
- -$180
No position
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by July 31, 2026?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.1K
- Potential profit
- $1.1K
- User PnL
- -$119
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 25?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.03K
- Potential profit
- $1.03K
- User PnL
- -$59.63
No position
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on June 10?
Ends Jun 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$60
N
No position
Will any flight depart from Imam Khomeini International Airport by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1K
- Potential profit
- $1K
- User PnL
- -$70
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 5?
Ends Jun 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $999.58
- Potential profit
- $999.58
- User PnL
- -$30.49
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $900
- Potential profit
- $900
- User PnL
- -$53.51
Yes position
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 14.7%
- Current value
- $123.79
- Potential payout
- $845
- Potential profit
- $721.21
- Multiplier
- 6.83x
- User PnL
- $39.56
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $800
- Potential profit
- $800
- User PnL
- -$104
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.3%
- Current value
- $694.75
- Potential payout
- $700
- Potential profit
- $5.25
- User PnL
- $99.75
N
No position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0.1%
- Current value
- $0.3
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $599.7
- Multiplier
- 2000.00x
- User PnL
- -$254.8
No position
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $469.99
- Potential profit
- $469.99
- User PnL
- -$51.1
Yes position
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $400
- Potential profit
- $400
- User PnL
- -$228
No position
Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $237.58
- Potential profit
- $237.58
- User PnL
- -$149.9
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?
Ends Jun 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $200.01
- Potential profit
- $200.01
- User PnL
- -$11.5
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.46K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?
Ends Aug 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.35K
No position
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 81%
- Multiplier
- 1.23x
- User PnL
- $1.31K
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 90.5%
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $1.09K
No position
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.05K
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 14
Ends Jun 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $867.24
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $841.53
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 99.7%
- User PnL
- $780.01
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 29?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $639.04
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $630.34
No position
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 21st?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $622
Yes position
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
Ends Jul 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 47.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.11x
- User PnL
- $621.76
No position
US x Iran ceasefire extended by April 21, 2026?
Ends Apr 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $606.45
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 15?
Ends Jun 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $600.88
No position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $591.82
Yes position
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.3%
- Multiplier
- 30.30x
- User PnL
- $584.17
No position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 7?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $533.22
No position
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire end by April 18, 2026?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $512.5
No position
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in June?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 88.8%
- Multiplier
- 1.13x
- User PnL
- $456.13
Yes position
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 15?
Ends May 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $432
Yes position
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $415.54
Y
Yes position
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jul 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $393.78
Yes position
Iran closes its airspace by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $379.94
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?No 43% 435 shares
- Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?Yes 99.9% 265.8 shares
- US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 13?No 99.7% 1,300 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 99.9% 537.72 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,193.33 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?Yes 99.8% 1,162.08 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?Yes 99.9% 1,425.17 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 10% 160 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?Yes 83.8% 1,193.32 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by August 31, 2026?No 3% 3,382.64 shares
- US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?No 4% 3,475.31 shares
- Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?Yes 31.1% 220 shares