Polymarket Trader

marbt

0x009d22cdd30e62b2c0722eb47a71d17d041b47d3

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $899.63
Realized PnL: $1.07K
Win rate: 100%
Open positions: 5
Closed positions: 24
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Celtics position

Spread: Celtics (-9.5)

Ends Mar 23, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $2.51K
Potential profit: $2.51K
User PnL: -$1.31K

No position

2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

Ends Nov 3, 2026

Implied probability: 59.5%
Current value: $874.06
Potential payout: $1.47K
Potential profit: $594.95
Multiplier: 1.68x
User PnL: -$69.75

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 4, 6AM ET

Ends Feb 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $444
Potential profit: $444
User PnL: -$222

Pelicans position

Spread: Pistons (-4.5)

Ends Mar 26, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $426
Potential profit: $426
User PnL: -$213

Yes position

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Ends Jan 1, 2027

Implied probability: 77.5%
Current value: $25.58
Potential payout: $33
Potential profit: $7.43
Multiplier: 1.29x
User PnL: $4.45

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Trail Blazers position

Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $511.53

Rockets position

Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

Ends Mar 21, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $167.52

Suns position

Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)

Ends Mar 25, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $115.02

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 3, 3AM ET

Ends Feb 3, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $111.5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - February 2, 5PM ET

Ends Feb 2, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $56

Raptors position

Spread: Raptors (-12.5)

Ends Mar 24, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $49

Celtics position

76ers vs. Celtics

Ends Apr 19, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $7.56

Trail Blazers position

Kings vs. Trail Blazers

Ends Apr 13, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $6.06

Piastri position

Piastri vs. Norris

Ends Jun 15, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.6

Santos position

Yusuff vs. Santos

Ends May 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4.4

Gamrot position

Gamrot vs. Klein

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $4

Reese position

Reese vs. Todorović

Ends Jun 1, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.6

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.2

Yes position

Will the price of Bitcoin be between $116K and $118K on July 30?

Ends Jul 30, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $3.15

Up position

XRP Up or Down - August 23, 7AM ET

Ends Aug 23, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

Up position

Ethereum Up or Down - August 18, 7AM ET

Ends Aug 18, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.5

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.42

Knicks position

Wizards vs. Knicks

Ends Mar 22, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.35

No position

Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

Ends May 1, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $2.32

Pantoja position

UFC 317: Pantoja vs. Kara-France

Ends Jun 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.6

No position

Will USA beat Mexico?

Ends Jul 7, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.55

No position

Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.48

Yes position

Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?

Ends Mar 18, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $1.21

No position

Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after October 2025 meeting?

Ends Oct 29, 2025

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.4

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will OpenAI's valuation hit (HIGH) $1.0T by December 31?

Yes 64% 33 shares
76ers vs. Celtics

Celtics 88% 62.55 shares
Kings vs. Trail Blazers

Trail Blazers 94% 100.64 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?

No 89% 21.65 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?

No 68% 9.54 shares
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?

No 96% 57.67 shares
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House

No 64% 1,104 shares
Spread: Nuggets (-4.5)

Suns 46% 213 shares
Wizards vs. Knicks

Knicks 95% 47 shares
Spread: Timberwolves (-2.5)

Trail Blazers 49% 1,003 shares
Spread: Rockets (-3.5)

Rockets 52% 349 shares
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?

No 99.6% 370 shares