No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 93.5%
- Current value
- $4.68
- Potential payout
- $5
- Potential profit
- $0.33
- Multiplier
- 1.07x
- User PnL
- $0.53
Polymarket Trader
DanielAmico
0x00ae3f27dd1d67160d717c3f367924666230fb1a
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $7.01
- Realized PnL
- $1.72
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 2
- Closed positions
- 11
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?
Ends Oct 4, 2026- Implied probability
- 94.5%
- Current value
- $2.33
- Potential payout
- $2.47
- Potential profit
- $0.14
- Multiplier
- 1.06x
- User PnL
- $0.33
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.72
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?
Ends May 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.25
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.2
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.17
No position
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.13
No position
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.1
SC Corinthians Paulista position
Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
No position
Sam Altman in jail by June 30?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.04
SE Palmeiras position
Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Trump out as President by April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.03
No position
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by March 31?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.01
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?No 98.5% 11.47 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?No 97.8% 11.34 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 96.8% 2.88 shares
- Spread: SC Corinthians Paulista (-2.5)SE Palmeiras 97% 1.03 shares
- Spread: SE Palmeiras (-2.5)SC Corinthians Paulista 96% 1.04 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes 83% 3.27 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?No 96.5% 1.19 shares
- Trump out as President by April 30?No 98.6% 2.03 shares
- Sam Altman in jail by June 30?No 98% 2.04 shares
- GPT-5.5 released by April 30, 2026?Yes 61% 3.28 shares
- Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?No 83% 5 shares
- Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?No 98.7% 15.2 shares