Polymarket Trader

CptAaserud

0x00c83eed2a851a42a19e64dc3f1feb948fdf379c

Public profile Partial data Delayed section

Open value: $53.07
Realized PnL: $7.8
Win rate: 60%
Open positions: 10
Closed positions: 5
Markets traded: Unavailable

Current Predictions

Open positions

Yes position

Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?

Ends Aug 1, 2026

Implied probability: 0.8%
Current value: $4.17
Potential payout: $555.56
Potential profit: $551.39
Multiplier: 133.33x
User PnL: -$0.83

Yes position

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 6%
Current value: $27.42
Potential payout: $460.78
Potential profit: $433.37
Multiplier: 16.81x
User PnL: $12.42

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $71.35
Potential profit: $71.35
User PnL: -$5.88

Yes position

Brazil vs. Norway: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$10

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Ends Jul 7, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $55.56
Potential profit: $55.56
User PnL: -$5

Yes position

Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?

Ends Dec 31, 2026

Implied probability: 8.5%
Current value: $3.86
Potential payout: $45.45
Potential profit: $41.59
Multiplier: 11.76x
User PnL: -$1.14

Yes position

Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 37.4%
Current value: $11.19
Potential payout: $29.96
Potential profit: $18.77
Multiplier: 2.68x
User PnL: $1.19

Yes position

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?

Ends Jul 31, 2026

Implied probability: 7.5%
Current value: $2.08
Potential payout: $27.78
Potential profit: $25.69
Multiplier: 13.33x
User PnL: -$2.92

Mexico position

Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Ends Jul 6, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
Current value: $0
Potential payout: $21.28
Potential profit: $21.28
User PnL: -$10

Yes position

Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Ends Jul 20, 2026

Implied probability: 43.5%
Current value: $4.35
Potential payout: $10
Potential profit: $5.65
Multiplier: 2.30x
User PnL: -$0.65

Resolved Context

Closed positions

Yes position

Norway to score first vs. Brazil?

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $17.03

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.62

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 100%
User PnL: $0.15

Down position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Ends Jul 4, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Up position

Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Ends Jul 5, 2026

Implied probability: 0%
User PnL: -$5

Trades

Recent trades

Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.

Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 6% 166.67 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 7, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET

Down 9% 55.56 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Down 89% 5.62 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 5, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET

Up 38% 13.16 shares
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 50% 10 shares
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?

Yes 33.4% 29.96 shares
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in July?

Yes 0.9% 555.56 shares
Mexico vs. England: Team to Advance

Mexico 47% 21.28 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Up 97% 5.15 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET

Down 11% 45.45 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 10% 8.85 shares
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET

Up 8% 62.5 shares