No position
Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 91%
- Current value
- $2.28K
- Potential payout
- $2.51K
- Potential profit
- $225.72
- Multiplier
- 1.10x
- User PnL
- $551.76
Polymarket Trader
AmandaDavis4687
0x00c855ee05497e5a8b53e47f7437033d1b37e4c8
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $3.52K
- Realized PnL
- $5.01K
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 15
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Military action against Iran continues through April 30, 2026?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.56K
- Potential profit
- $1.56K
- User PnL
- -$903.64
No position
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $949
- Potential payout
- $949
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $237.25
No position
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?
Ends May 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $600
- Potential profit
- $600
- User PnL
- -$246
East Texas A&M Lions position
East Texas A&M Lions vs. Lamar Cardinals
Ends Jan 27, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $471
- Potential profit
- $471
- User PnL
- -$48.51
Yes position
Will Trump name "Homan" in April?
Ends Apr 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $351
- Potential profit
- $351
- User PnL
- -$94.77
No position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on January 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $302
- Potential profit
- $302
- User PnL
- -$126.84
No position
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $267
- Potential profit
- $267
- User PnL
- -$173.55
No position
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.1%
- Current value
- $165.29
- Potential payout
- $172
- Potential profit
- $6.71
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $62.89
No position
Will "They Will Kill You" score at least 65 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer?
Ends Mar 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $153
- Potential profit
- $153
- User PnL
- -$97.92
No position
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 89.5%
- Current value
- $97.56
- Potential payout
- $109
- Potential profit
- $11.44
- Multiplier
- 1.12x
- User PnL
- $14.72
Over position
Hamburger SV vs. Bayer 04 Leverkusen: O/U 1.5
Ends Jan 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $77
- Potential profit
- $77
- User PnL
- -$46.97
No position
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $1T?
Ends Dec 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 24%
- Current value
- $7.44
- Potential payout
- $31
- Potential profit
- $23.56
- Multiplier
- 4.17x
- User PnL
- -$8.99
No position
Will Tyler1 shave his head by June 1, 2026?
Ends Jun 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- Current value
- $17
- Potential payout
- $17
- Potential profit
- $0
- User PnL
- $6.63
No position
Will Consensys IPO by September 30 2026?
Ends Oct 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 91.5%
- Current value
- $1.83
- Potential payout
- $2
- Potential profit
- $0.17
- Multiplier
- 1.09x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will "Donald" or "Trump" be said on the first Joe Rogan Experience episode of the week? (March 29)
Ends Mar 29, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $756
Yes position
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 1, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $439.92
Yes position
Will Albin Kurti be the next Prime Minister of Kosovo?
Ends Dec 28, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $409.53
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ET
Ends Feb 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $366.69
Hapoel Tel Aviv position
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs. Paris Basketball
Ends Mar 3, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.96
No position
Will Democrats 66 (D66) win the most seats in Amsterdam’s 2026 municipal election?
Ends Mar 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $344.42
Yes position
Will less than 5 SpaceX Starship launches successfully reach Space in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 36.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.74x
- User PnL
- $307.92
Yes position
Will Forgent Power Solutions' market cap be between $8.50B and $8.75B at market close on IPO day?
Ends Feb 5, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $304.3
No position
Will Israel strike 3 countries in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $244.96
No position
Haiti elections delayed again?
Ends Aug 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 37.5%
- Multiplier
- 2.67x
- User PnL
- $188.6
No position
Will Artemis II launch by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $180.67
Yes position
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $140.55
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for January 28 be less than 2,000,000?
Ends Jan 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $128.03
Up position
XRP Up or Down - February 15, 11PM ET
Ends Feb 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $120.5
Yes position
Will the total number of TSA passengers for February 7 be between 1,700,000 and 1,900,000?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $99.58
No position
Will ChatGPT be out as the #1 Free App in the US Apple Store by February 7?
Ends Jan 1, 1970- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $96.37
No position
Will Khamenei post 60-79 posts from March 17 to March 24, 2026?
Ends Mar 24, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $95.51
No position
Will Hibachi launch a token by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jan 1, 2027- Implied probability
- 99.4%
- User PnL
- $82.62
No position
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut by March 31, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $81.63
Yes position
Will voter turnout be 68–71% in the 2026 Hungarian parliamentary election?
Ends Apr 12, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $69.56
Yes position
Will Boyacá Chicó FC win on 2026-04-17?
Ends Apr 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $66.72
Yes position
Will Erin Doherty win Best Actress in a Television Movie or Limited Series at the 2026 SAG Awards?
Ends Mar 1, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $50.24
No position
Israel x Hamas Ceasefire Phase II by June 30?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 96.6%
- Multiplier
- 1.04x
- User PnL
- $48.45
No position
Will Jesse Armstrong - Mountainhead win Best Director of a Movie for Television at the 78th DGA Awards?
Ends Feb 7, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $45.64
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 10% 532 shares
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 56% 262 shares
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 56% 296 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 91% 39 shares
- New pandemic in 2026?Yes 11% 33 shares
- Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in April 2026?No 41% 600 shares
- Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?No 75% 988 shares
- Will Estonia advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?No 78% 558 shares
- Will SpaceX have between 160-179 launches in 2026?No 69% 2,508 shares
- Haiti elections delayed again?No 34% 121 shares
- Haiti elections delayed again?No 35% 878 shares
- Will Bruno Mars have a #1 hit in April?No 73% 128 shares