Yes position
Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
Ends Dec 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.76K
- Potential profit
- $2.76K
- User PnL
- -$555.99
Polymarket Trader
edmundthegreat
0x00d982de5fb85dc7e89c97e45c9f538d938b12df
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $82.59
- Realized PnL
- $3.18K
- Win rate
- 83.3%
- Open positions
- 11
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $1.17K
- Potential profit
- $1.17K
- User PnL
- -$295
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1%
- Current value
- $9.13
- Potential payout
- $913.41
- Potential profit
- $904.28
- Multiplier
- 100.00x
- User PnL
- -$20.87
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.9%
- Current value
- $13.2
- Potential payout
- $694.54
- Potential profit
- $681.34
- Multiplier
- 52.63x
- User PnL
- -$16.8
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 3.4%
- Current value
- $15.65
- Potential payout
- $460.42
- Potential profit
- $444.76
- Multiplier
- 29.41x
- User PnL
- -$9.35
Yes position
Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 2.3%
- Current value
- $9.86
- Potential payout
- $428.57
- Potential profit
- $418.71
- Multiplier
- 43.48x
- User PnL
- -$20.14
Yes position
Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.1%
- Current value
- $18.94
- Potential payout
- $375
- Potential profit
- $356.06
- Multiplier
- 19.80x
- User PnL
- -$11.06
Yes position
Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?
Ends Jun 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $319.08
- Potential profit
- $319.08
- User PnL
- -$15
Yes position
Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 4.3%
- Current value
- $12.59
- Potential payout
- $293.45
- Potential profit
- $280.86
- Multiplier
- 23.31x
- User PnL
- -$7.41
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 87-88°F on July 10?
Ends Jul 10, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $206.78
- Potential profit
- $206.78
- User PnL
- -$100
Yes position
Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 1.7%
- Current value
- $3.22
- Potential payout
- $195.3
- Potential profit
- $192.08
- Multiplier
- 60.61x
- User PnL
- -$12.02
Resolved Context
Closed positions
No position
Will OpenAI release a new frontier model by December 9?
Ends Dec 9, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.18K
Yes position
Will Zohran Mamdani win the Democratic Primary for Mayor of New York City?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $408.49
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on July 4?
Ends Jul 4, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $324.64
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 93-94°F on July 1?
Ends Jul 1, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $307.27
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 80-81°F on June 27?
Ends Jun 27, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $190.86
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 70-71°F on July 7?
Ends Jul 7, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $172.03
Yes position
Will turnout be between 1000000 and 1100000 in the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $125.55
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 2?
Ends Jul 2, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $110.19
Yes position
Zohran Mamdani gets the most first-choice votes in the 2025 New York City Mayoral Democratic Primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $109.53
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 89-90°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $87.7
Yes position
Will Zohran Madani’s vote share be greater than 32% in the first round of the NYC Democratic mayoral primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $34.15
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be 68°F or below on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.95
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 85-86°F on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $23.56
Yes position
Jeremy Corbyn elected to parliament in UK election?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.88
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 73-74°F on July 5?
Ends Jul 5, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $19.4
Yes position
Reform wins between 11% and 15% of votes?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $15.45
Yes position
Will Labour win 400-424 seats in the next UK Election?
Ends Jan 31, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.5
Yes position
First round leader wins NYC Democratic primary?
Ends Jun 24, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $10.4
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 91-92°F on June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $9.09
No position
Will the highest temperature in London be between 79-80°F on July 3?
Ends Jul 3, 2025- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $9.04
Yes position
Reform wins between 15% and 19% of votes?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.44
Yes position
Will the highest temperature in London be 93°F or higher on June 29?
Ends Jun 29, 2025- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$0.88
Yes position
Will the Liberal Democrats win less than 30 seats in the next UK Election?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Yes position
Labour wins >50% of votes?
Ends Jul 4, 2024- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$2
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will OpenAI have the best Coding AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 7.8% 195.3 shares
- Will OpenAI have the top AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 3.3% 913.41 shares
- Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 4.3% 694.54 shares
- Will OpenAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?Yes 8% 375 shares
- Will GPT-5.6 be released between June 1 and June 7, 2026?Yes 4.7% 319.08 shares
- Will OpenAI be the first company to have an AI model hit 1550 on Chatbot Arena in 2026?Yes 6.8% 293.45 shares
- Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?Yes 5.4% 460.42 shares
- Will GPT-6 be released by June 30, 2026?Yes 7% 428.57 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?Yes 12.7% 353.21 shares
- Another critical Cloudflare incident by February 28, 2026?Yes 30.7% 814.05 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 20.7% 996.35 shares
- Will Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?Yes 15.6% 963.11 shares