Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 9.5%
- Current value
- $4.75
- Potential payout
- $50
- Potential profit
- $45.25
- Multiplier
- 10.53x
- User PnL
- -$0.25
Polymarket Trader
Michaelsky
0x00edd13eb2bc196393f7de6267748dc7db60a1d5
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $20.59
- Realized PnL
- $17.73
- Win rate
- 100%
- Open positions
- 7
- Closed positions
- 24
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?
Ends Jul 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 38.5%
- Current value
- $8.56
- Potential payout
- $22.22
- Potential profit
- $13.67
- Multiplier
- 2.60x
- User PnL
- -$1.44
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 15.5%
- Current value
- $2.21
- Potential payout
- $14.29
- Potential profit
- $12.07
- Multiplier
- 6.45x
- User PnL
- $0.21
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?
Ends Jul 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 14%
- Current value
- $1.5
- Potential payout
- $10.71
- Potential profit
- $9.21
- Multiplier
- 7.14x
- User PnL
- -$0
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?
Ends Jul 17, 2026- Implied probability
- 20%
- Current value
- $1.47
- Potential payout
- $7.35
- Potential profit
- $5.89
- Multiplier
- 5.01x
- User PnL
- $0.47
Yes position
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 19.5%
- Current value
- $1.15
- Potential payout
- $5.88
- Potential profit
- $4.74
- Multiplier
- 5.13x
- User PnL
- $0.15
Yes position
Will France win on 2026-07-14?
Ends Jul 14, 2026- Implied probability
- 40.4%
- Current value
- $0.96
- Potential payout
- $2.38
- Potential profit
- $1.42
- Multiplier
- 2.48x
- User PnL
- -$0.04
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $4.5
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.53
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET
Ends Jul 11, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1.24
Up position
BNB Up or Down - July 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $1
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.95
Chicago White Sox position
Athletics vs. Chicago White Sox
Ends Jul 18, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.85
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.77
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.75
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.6
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.56
Yes position
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?
Ends Jul 13, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.48
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.47
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.41
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.38
Down position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.37
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.36
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.35
Up position
Ethereum Up or Down - July 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.34
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.33
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET
Ends Jul 10, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.31
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.3
Down position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 9, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET
Ends Jul 9, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Up position
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 8, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET
Ends Jul 8, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- $0.29
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes 10% 50 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 13 to July 15, 2026?Yes 45% 22.22 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes 14% 10.71 shares
- Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?Yes 96.3% 1.53 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?Yes 14% 14.29 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from July 11 to July 13, 2026?No 99.9% 1 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from July 10 to July 17, 2026?Yes 13.6% 7.35 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 2.3% 37.03 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 21% 2.63 shares
- Will Donald Trump post 100-119 Truth Social posts from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 38% 2.63 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 2.7% 37.04 shares
- Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from July 7 to July 14, 2026?Yes 37% 2.56 shares