No position
GPT ads by March 31?
Ends Mar 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $2.13K
- Potential profit
- $2.13K
- User PnL
- -$100
Polymarket Trader
0x00F74be73a470BDfABC8F67840651ACe66247cD3-1768389710977
0x00f74be73a470bdfabc8f67840651ace66247cd3
Public profile Partial data Delayed section
- Open value
- $79.68
- Realized PnL
- -$74.22
- Win rate
- 25%
- Open positions
- 8
- Closed positions
- 4
- Markets traded
- Unavailable
Current Predictions
Open positions
Yes position
Will Trump be impeached by June 30?
Ends Jun 30, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $514.29
- Potential profit
- $514.29
- User PnL
- -$36
Yes position
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 5.2%
- Current value
- $19.81
- Potential payout
- $384.62
- Potential profit
- $364.81
- Multiplier
- 19.42x
- User PnL
- -$30.19
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 28, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $342.29
- Potential profit
- $342.29
- User PnL
- -$31
Yes position
US recession by end of 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2027- Implied probability
- 12.5%
- Current value
- $37.5
- Potential payout
- $300
- Potential profit
- $262.5
- Multiplier
- 8.00x
- User PnL
- -$28.5
Yes position
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?
Ends Dec 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 8.5%
- Current value
- $22.37
- Potential payout
- $263.16
- Potential profit
- $240.79
- Multiplier
- 11.76x
- User PnL
- -$27.63
Yes position
Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $235.03
- Potential profit
- $235.03
- User PnL
- -$115.14
Yes position
Will Trump say "Make Iran Great Again" during WEF Address on January 21?
Ends Jan 21, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- Current value
- $0
- Potential payout
- $189.23
- Potential profit
- $189.23
- User PnL
- -$36
Resolved Context
Closed positions
Yes position
Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?
Ends Jan 31, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- $46.19
Yes position
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?
Ends Feb 28, 2026- Implied probability
- 100%
- User PnL
- -$0.72
No position
Will Trump say "Unbelievable" or "Fantastic" or "Incredible" 10+ times during Panthers visit?
Ends Jan 15, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$43
Yes position
Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?
Ends Jan 16, 2026- Implied probability
- 0%
- User PnL
- -$76.69
Trades
Recent trades
Latest visible trades for this Polymarket trader.
- Will Trump talk to Vladimir Putin in January?Yes 49% 235.03 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Yes 97.2% 118.37 shares
- Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes 0.3% 10,130 shares
- Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?Yes 19% 159.95 shares
- Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes 0.3% 11,103.33 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 be released on January 28, 2026?Yes 9.1% 342.29 shares
- Will Grok 4.20 not be released by January 31, 2026?Yes 58.2% 118.37 shares
- Will Melania say "Career" during AI talk on Friday?Yes 1.3% 1,033.41 shares
- Will Trump be impeached by June 30?Yes 7% 514.29 shares
- US recession by end of 2026?Yes 22% 300 shares
- Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?Yes 13% 384.62 shares
- China x Taiwan military clash before 2027?Yes 19% 263.16 shares